NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR MIN
Points 99.4 115.9
Total Points   215.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.3 61.3
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 34.2
Points From Free Throws 17.4 20.4
Shooting POR MIN
Field Goals Made 35.9 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 81.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 26.3
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.6%
Ball Control POR MIN
Rebounds 46.7 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 10.6
Turnovers 14.4 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 7.0
Steals 7.0 8.4
Fouls 19.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR MIN
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 97.6
% of Possessions with POR MIN
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 27.5%
Player Fouled 16.1% 19.8%
Turnover 14.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR MIN
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.6%