NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR GS
Points 108.5 120.4
Total Points   228.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 63.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 39.7
Points From Free Throws 16.6 17.4
Shooting POR GS
Field Goals Made 39.9 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 88.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 22.5
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.7%
Ball Control POR GS
Rebounds 47.9 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 13.3
Turnovers 12.9 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.8
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 17.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR GS
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 102.1
% of Possessions with POR GS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 31.0%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.7%
Turnover 12.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR GS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 28.9%