NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS BOS
Points 111.9 119.9
Total Points   231.8
Points From 2-Pointers 53.7 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 45.8 52.4
Points From Free Throws 12.4 15.9
Shooting GS BOS
Field Goals Made 42.1 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 95.3 91.5
Field Goal % 44.2% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.9 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 46.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 17.5
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 44.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 12.4 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 20.1
Free Throw % 77.7% 79.1%
Ball Control GS BOS
Rebounds 52.4 52.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 39.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 12.4
Turnovers 11.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 6.2
Steals 5.1 6.4
Fouls 15.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS BOS
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 103.4
% of Possessions with GS BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 39.0%
Player Fouled 13.2% 15.4%
Turnover 11.3% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS BOS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.7%