NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS LAC
Points 116.1 116.0
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 40.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 18.8
Shooting GS LAC
Field Goals Made 43.0 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 88.3
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 22.5
Free Throw % 77.7% 83.5%
Ball Control GS LAC
Rebounds 50.5 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 11.7
Turnovers 12.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.6
Steals 6.2 7.0
Fouls 17.1 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS LAC
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 101.4
% of Possessions with GS LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 30.8%
Player Fouled 15.3% 16.9%
Turnover 11.9% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS LAC
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 24.4%