NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS CHA
Points 120.1 107.9
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 46.5 39.6
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.7
Shooting GS CHA
Field Goals Made 45.0 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 88.3
Field Goal % 50.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 15.5 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 37.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.6
Free Throw % 77.7% 78.9%
Ball Control GS CHA
Rebounds 53.3 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 10.1
Turnovers 13.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 6.0 6.4
Fouls 16.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS CHA
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 99.0
% of Possessions with GS CHA
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 32.8%
Player Fouled 14.7% 15.9%
Turnover 12.9% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS CHA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 20.2%