NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS UTA
Points 125.8 116.5
Total Points   242.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 50.5 40.6
Points From Free Throws 15.7 19.4
Shooting GS UTA
Field Goals Made 46.6 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 94.1 90.7
Field Goal % 49.5% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 16.8 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 41.2% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.7 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.1
Free Throw % 77.7% 83.7%
Ball Control GS UTA
Rebounds 50.3 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 14.1
Turnovers 11.4 13.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.2
Steals 7.0 5.8
Fouls 17.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS UTA
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 105.8 104.1
% of Possessions with GS UTA
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 32.0%
Player Fouled 15.0% 16.7%
Turnover 11.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS UTA
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 28.0%