NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS UTA
Points 126.5 117.1
Total Points   243.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.8 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 51.1 41.1
Points From Free Throws 15.7 19.3
Shooting GS UTA
Field Goals Made 46.9 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 94.2 90.8
Field Goal % 49.8% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 17.0 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.0 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 41.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 15.7 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.1
Free Throw % 77.7% 83.7%
Ball Control GS UTA
Rebounds 50.2 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 13.9
Turnovers 11.4 13.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.2
Steals 7.0 5.8
Fouls 17.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS UTA
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 105.9 104.2
% of Possessions with GS UTA
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 32.1%
Player Fouled 14.8% 16.5%
Turnover 11.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS UTA
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 27.8%