NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS SAC
Points 116.7 116.8
Total Points   233.5
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 45.2
Points From Free Throws 16.7 15.9
Shooting GS SAC
Field Goals Made 42.6 42.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 92.0
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 15.1
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 16.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 21.3
Free Throw % 77.7% 74.6%
Ball Control GS SAC
Rebounds 50.4 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 12.9
Turnovers 13.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.2
Steals 6.1 7.3
Fouls 16.7 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS SAC
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 104.6
% of Possessions with GS SAC
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 35.0%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.3%
Turnover 12.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS SAC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 25.0%