NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS LAL
Points 119.2 117.3
Total Points   236.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 61.3
Points From 3-Pointers 47.0 37.5
Points From Free Throws 13.1 18.5
Shooting GS LAL
Field Goals Made 45.2 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 95.4 87.4
Field Goal % 47.4% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 15.7 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 40.6 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 23.8
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.6%
Ball Control GS LAL
Rebounds 51.6 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.3
Turnovers 12.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.8
Steals 6.7 6.6
Fouls 18.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS LAL
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 105.4 101.1
% of Possessions with GS LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 12.6% 17.5%
Turnover 11.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS LAL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 19.7%