NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS DAL
Points 116.3 116.4
Total Points   232.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 44.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 17.4
Shooting GS DAL
Field Goals Made 42.8 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 89.6
Field Goal % 46.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.7 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.1
Free Throw % 77.7% 75.4%
Ball Control GS DAL
Rebounds 52.8 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 11.3
Turnovers 12.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.0
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 18.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS DAL
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 103.2
% of Possessions with GS DAL
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 35.1%
Player Fouled 15.1% 18.3%
Turnover 12.4% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS DAL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 22.4%