NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS DEN
Points 113.2 115.8
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 63.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 36.6
Points From Free Throws 16.0 15.9
Shooting GS DEN
Field Goals Made 42.3 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 90.7
Field Goal % 46.2% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 57.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 16.0 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.5
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.4%
Ball Control GS DEN
Rebounds 50.4 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 12.6
Turnovers 11.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.2
Steals 5.8 6.3
Fouls 16.5 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS DEN
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 102.7
% of Possessions with GS DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 29.0%
Player Fouled 15.0% 16.4%
Turnover 11.2% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS DEN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 25.6%