NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS NO
Points 113.9 113.8
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 58.2
Points From 3-Pointers 46.1 38.1
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.4
Shooting GS NO
Field Goals Made 41.8 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 88.7
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 47.1 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.4 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.6 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.4
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.9%
Ball Control GS NO
Rebounds 49.8 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 12.0
Turnovers 13.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.4
Steals 5.6 7.7
Fouls 16.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS NO
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 101.8
% of Possessions with GS NO
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.1% 30.0%
Player Fouled 15.5% 16.4%
Turnover 13.3% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS NO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 24.3%