NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS PHO
Points 115.6 116.4
Total Points   232.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.5 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 39.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 19.0
Shooting GS PHO
Field Goals Made 42.7 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 86.9
Field Goal % 45.7% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 39.5 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 23.5
Free Throw % 77.7% 80.9%
Ball Control GS PHO
Rebounds 50.1 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 11.6
Turnovers 11.9 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.3
Steals 7.0 6.8
Fouls 18.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS PHO
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.9 100.9
% of Possessions with GS PHO
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 29.9%
Player Fouled 14.9% 17.7%
Turnover 11.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS PHO
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 24.7%