NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS OKC
Points 113.9 120.0
Total Points   233.9
Points From 2-Pointers 51.7 60.3
Points From 3-Pointers 45.8 42.0
Points From Free Throws 16.3 17.8
Shooting GS OKC
Field Goals Made 41.1 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 90.2
Field Goal % 45.1% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 40.3 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 16.3 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.7
Free Throw % 77.7% 82.0%
Ball Control GS OKC
Rebounds 52.6 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 15.0 10.2
Turnovers 14.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 6.2
Steals 6.1 7.7
Fouls 17.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS OKC
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 102.5
% of Possessions with GS OKC
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.0% 16.9%
Turnover 14.2% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS OKC
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 21.4%