NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS MIN
Points 109.1 114.2
Total Points   223.2
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 55.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 40.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 18.6
Shooting GS MIN
Field Goals Made 39.7 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 86.2
Field Goal % 44.7% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 16.5 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 23.9
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.8%
Ball Control GS MIN
Rebounds 49.8 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.3
Turnovers 13.5 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.6
Steals 6.4 7.3
Fouls 18.7 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS MIN
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 100.4
% of Possessions with GS MIN
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 15.9% 18.4%
Turnover 13.3% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS MIN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 23.5%