NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS CHI
Points 113.9 121.7
Total Points   235.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 70.9
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 31.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 19.0
Shooting WAS CHI
Field Goals Made 41.8 46.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 92.3
Field Goal % 47.1% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 35.5
2 Pointers Attempted 49.5 61.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 16.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 23.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.2%
Ball Control WAS CHI
Rebounds 44.9 52.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.4
Turnovers 13.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.9
Steals 6.1 7.7
Fouls 17.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS CHI
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 106.3
% of Possessions with WAS CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.2%
Turnover 12.5% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS CHI
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 27.5%