NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS BOS
Points 106.8 127.0
Total Points   233.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 64.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.7 45.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 17.8
Shooting WAS BOS
Field Goals Made 40.7 47.0
Field Goals Attempted 94.7 92.3
Field Goal % 43.0% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 37.8 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 12.4 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 22.6
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.9%
Ball Control WAS BOS
Rebounds 45.5 57.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 44.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.1
Turnovers 11.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 7.8
Steals 5.4 6.7
Fouls 16.4 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS BOS
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 105.8
% of Possessions with WAS BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 33.6%
Player Fouled 13.5% 15.8%
Turnover 11.1% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS BOS
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 27.5%