NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS BOS
Points 107.2 127.1
Total Points   234.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 63.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 45.3
Points From Free Throws 12.5 17.8
Shooting WAS BOS
Field Goals Made 40.8 47.1
Field Goals Attempted 94.9 92.4
Field Goal % 43.0% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 15.1
3 Pointers Attempted 37.9 39.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 22.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.1%
Ball Control WAS BOS
Rebounds 45.5 57.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 44.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.1
Turnovers 11.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 7.8
Steals 5.5 6.8
Fouls 16.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS BOS
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 105.9
% of Possessions with WAS BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 33.6%
Player Fouled 13.5% 15.9%
Turnover 11.0% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS BOS
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 27.5%