NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS NY
Points 111.4 121.7
Total Points   233.1
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 65.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 36.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 19.6
Shooting WAS NY
Field Goals Made 42.0 45.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 91.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 32.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 15.1 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 25.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.0%
Ball Control WAS NY
Rebounds 42.9 54.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 16.2
Turnovers 12.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.3
Steals 5.9 7.3
Fouls 18.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS NY
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 106.6
% of Possessions with WAS NY
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.6%
Turnover 12.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS NY
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 33.0%