NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS ORL
Points 106.9 117.7
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 66.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 30.3
Points From Free Throws 16.4 21.0
Shooting WAS ORL
Field Goals Made 39.9 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 86.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 33.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 16.4 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 27.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 75.7%
Ball Control WAS ORL
Rebounds 42.2 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.1
Turnovers 14.5 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.1
Steals 7.4 8.2
Fouls 20.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS ORL
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 103.0
% of Possessions with WAS ORL
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 24.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 19.4%
Turnover 14.0% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS ORL
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 28.1%