NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DAL
Points 109.6 123.7
Total Points   233.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 67.2
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 37.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 19.4
Shooting WAS DAL
Field Goals Made 40.8 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.6 89.0
Field Goal % 45.0% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 33.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 26.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 74.4%
Ball Control WAS DAL
Rebounds 44.8 53.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 41.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.1
Turnovers 12.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.3
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 19.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DAL
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 104.5
% of Possessions with WAS DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.3%
Player Fouled 15.6% 18.9%
Turnover 11.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DAL
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 26.0%