NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DAL
Points 110.4 124.2
Total Points   234.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 67.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 37.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 19.3
Shooting WAS DAL
Field Goals Made 41.0 46.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 90.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 33.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 16.0 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 25.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 74.6%
Ball Control WAS DAL
Rebounds 45.7 54.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 41.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.3
Turnovers 12.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.6
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 19.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DAL
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 105.4
% of Possessions with WAS DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.7%
Player Fouled 15.5% 18.8%
Turnover 11.8% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DAL
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 26.0%