NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS IND
Points 117.2 130.6
Total Points   247.8
Points From 2-Pointers 68.4 77.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 35.2
Points From Free Throws 18.8 18.2
Shooting WAS IND
Field Goals Made 44.2 50.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 93.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made 34.2 38.6
2 Pointers Attempted 61.8 61.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.8 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 23.6
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.2%
Ball Control WAS IND
Rebounds 44.5 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.2
Turnovers 12.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 7.2
Steals 5.9 7.1
Fouls 18.0 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS IND
Total Possessions 106.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 107.4
% of Possessions with WAS IND
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 27.0%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.9%
Turnover 12.0% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS IND
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 26.5%