NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS NO
Points 110.1 121.5
Total Points   231.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 69.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 32.9
Points From Free Throws 15.1 19.5
Shooting WAS NO
Field Goals Made 41.0 45.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 89.2
Field Goal % 46.3% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 34.5
2 Pointers Attempted 49.8 58.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 25.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.9%
Ball Control WAS NO
Rebounds 43.3 52.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 40.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.5
Turnovers 13.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.6
Steals 6.1 8.1
Fouls 17.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS NO
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 103.9
% of Possessions with WAS NO
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.9%
Turnover 13.0% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS NO
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 26.9%