NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DET
Points 119.0 118.5
Total Points   237.4
Points From 2-Pointers 66.4 67.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 30.9
Points From Free Throws 17.6 19.6
Shooting WAS DET
Field Goals Made 44.9 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 90.1
Field Goal % 49.9% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 60.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 17.6 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 25.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.3%
Ball Control WAS DET
Rebounds 44.8 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 12.6
Turnovers 12.1 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.5
Steals 7.9 6.6
Fouls 17.0 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DET
Total Possessions 105.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 104.7
% of Possessions with WAS DET
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 25.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.1%
Turnover 11.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DET
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 26.1%