Tampa Bay (Away) Arizona (Home)
Win Odds 69.6% 30.4%
Spread -7.5 +7.5
Cover Odds 51.1% 48.9%
Proj Score 26.2 18.0

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
12/25/22 Tampa Bay 22.0 21.8 -2.9 69.6% 30.4% Arizona 13.7 19.0 -5.7
 
Team Like Tampa Bay Team Like Arizona
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 29.2 12/30/12 Houston 30.4 26.2 +6.5 16 28 Indianapolis 25.7 21.7 -2.8
2 31.1 01/02/22 LA Rams 31.1 28.7 +6.0 20 19 Baltimore 22.6 23.9 -0.1
3 31.3 12/23/18 Minnesota 24.9 25.7 +1.1 27 9 Detroit 18.7 21.7 -3.5
4 31.6 12/21/14 Baltimore 30.1 28.9 +7.8 13 25 Houston 22.7 25.1 +3.4
5 32.0 12/27/09 Dallas 34.1 31.0 +5.0 17 0 Washington 21.6 24.2 -3.6
6 32.0 12/25/22 Denver 17.3 22.3 -2.5 14 51 LA Rams 14.7 18.9 -6.4
7 32.1 12/14/08 LA Chargers 22.3 26.3 +3.3 22 21 Kansas City 12.8 18.3 -10.1
8 32.6 12/25/04 Denver 26.4 25.9 +2.6 37 16 Tennessee 17.9 20.7 -5.6
9 33.3 12/06/09 Denver 24.8 24.7 +0.6 44 13 Kansas City 21.5 20.7 -9.0
10 33.5 11/28/19 Chicago 18.7 21.6 0.0 24 20 Detroit 11.5 18.3 -2.8
11 33.6 12/24/17 LA Chargers 27.0 27.6 +4.0 14 7 NY Jets 19.4 21.4 -4.1
12 33.9 12/10/17 Tennessee 28.2 24.5 -1.3 7 12 Arizona 21.6 21.6 -7.6
13 34.4 12/20/15 Green Bay 30.8 29.7 +5.5 30 20 Las Vegas 25.9 24.9 -2.1
14 34.4 12/16/07 Tennessee 22.1 22.3 -1.2 26 17 Kansas City 14.8 18.3 -7.1
15 34.5 11/29/20 NY Giants 20.9 23.5 -4.1 19 17 Cincinnati 17.7 20.7 -5.7
16 34.5 12/26/21 LA Rams 29.5 28.0 +5.9 30 23 Minnesota 26.6 26.5 +1.4
17 34.6 01/09/22 New Orleans 24.4 24.3 +1.2 30 20 Atlanta 19.4 19.2 -8.5
18 34.7 12/23/12 Chicago 26.4 26.3 +5.8 28 13 Arizona 19.4 22.3 -5.6
19 35.3 12/10/06 Seattle 24.5 22.5 -0.3 21 27 Arizona 15.3 19.2 -5.3
20 35.8 12/20/10 Chicago 33.3 28.4 +1.9 40 14 Minnesota 24.0 23.8 -3.4
21 36.2 12/27/20 Philadelphia 21.7 23.1 -4.1 17 37 Dallas 22.7 22.8 -6.7
22 36.5 12/20/07 Pittsburgh 25.4 26.2 +8.1 41 24 LA Rams 15.3 18.0 -9.2
23 37.0 12/11/05 Washington 25.1 26.7 +0.7 17 13 Arizona 20.6 21.9 -5.3
24 37.1 12/17/17 Dallas 25.7 26.1 +1.7 20 17 Las Vegas 20.1 20.5 -3.1
25 37.4 12/12/21 New Orleans 21.2 23.4 -0.2 30 9 NY Jets 16.4 17.8 -12.5
26 37.4 01/02/11 LA Rams 19.8 20.5 -1.9 6 16 Seattle 14.5 15.6 -7.1
27 37.4 12/11/16 Minnesota 22.7 25.5 +2.0 25 16 Jacksonville 15.2 20.2 -7.4
28 37.5 11/24/16 Pittsburgh 23.3 26.0 +2.3 28 7 Indianapolis 25.9 24.1 -1.0
29 38.2 12/21/08 Miami 26.0 23.5 +1.0 38 31 Kansas City 11.4 18.6 -9.4
30 38.9 12/06/09 Philadelphia 26.8 26.7 +5.9 34 7 Atlanta 23.7 24.8 +2.5
31 39.0 11/17/19 Buffalo 22.9 23.6 +2.7 37 20 Miami 17.0 18.1 -16.6
32 39.2 12/22/03 Green Bay 29.7 29.4 +5.2 41 7 Las Vegas 19.9 22.6 -4.9
33 39.3 01/01/06 Carolina 27.2 26.9 +6.6 44 11 Atlanta 21.8 23.8 +2.9
34 39.5 12/11/05 New England 28.2 25.2 -1.9 35 7 Buffalo 18.1 21.5 -5.3
35 39.5 11/17/11 NY Jets 25.9 25.8 +1.7 13 17 Denver 25.4 23.7 -5.1
36 39.8 12/07/14 San Francisco 27.4 24.6 -1.1 13 24 Las Vegas 17.9 19.1 -13.4
37 39.8 12/08/22 Las Vegas 20.7 22.9 -0.3 16 17 LA Rams 10.8 18.4 -6.6
38 39.9 12/24/06 Washington 22.1 23.1 -4.1 31 37 LA Rams 15.0 17.9 -2.9
39 40.0 12/24/05 Philadelphia 22.7 22.1 -4.4 21 27 Arizona 14.8 19.8 -5.6
40 40.1 12/01/19 Philadelphia 25.4 25.7 -0.4 31 37 Miami 17.1 18.4 -16.6
41 40.2 12/14/03 Carolina 24.6 23.7 -0.1 20 17 Arizona 12.1 14.6 -15.9
42 40.2 12/30/18 Atlanta 23.7 25.2 -0.7 34 32 Tampa Bay 19.6 22.7 -4.4
43 40.3 12/08/19 LA Chargers 20.1 23.5 +0.3 45 10 Jacksonville 16.6 17.8 -6.0
44 40.4 12/03/17 Kansas City 19.3 23.0 +3.3 31 38 NY Jets 19.7 21.7 -2.6
45 40.4 12/15/13 Philadelphia 30.0 27.7 +2.5 30 48 Minnesota 18.0 20.1 -6.2
46 41.0 01/01/12 Baltimore 30.0 27.7 +6.9 24 16 Cincinnati 26.7 25.4 +1.9
47 41.4 11/25/21 Buffalo 26.4 27.9 +11.9 31 6 New Orleans 23.8 25.8 +3.3
48 41.4 12/18/17 Atlanta 33.7 30.0 +2.5 24 21 Tampa Bay 20.8 22.8 -3.7
49 41.4 01/02/11 NY Giants 26.4 25.9 +2.9 17 14 Washington 20.7 22.2 -4.8
50 41.5 12/07/14 NY Giants 13.1 19.0 -5.2 36 7 Tennessee 7.9 15.1 -10.4
51 41.5 12/30/18 Philadelphia 31.6 27.6 -0.3 24 0 Washington 23.2 22.5 -3.6
52 41.7 12/17/06 Denver 23.3 23.8 -0.1 37 20 Arizona 17.0 19.6 -4.4
53 41.7 01/03/21 Washington 23.2 25.3 0.0 20 14 Philadelphia 18.9 20.9 -5.2
54 41.8 12/24/11 LA Chargers 26.9 27.9 +3.2 10 38 Detroit 27.9 25.1 +4.5
55 41.9 01/03/16 NY Jets 27.6 25.7 +5.2 17 22 Buffalo 21.8 23.2 +1.0
56 41.9 12/12/22 New England 27.9 26.7 +1.9 27 13 Arizona 16.9 21.0 -4.8
57 42.1 12/18/05 Arizona 17.8 21.1 -5.2 19 30 Houston 8.7 17.3 -12.4
58 42.1 12/04/05 Tampa Bay 23.9 23.4 +1.8 10 3 New Orleans 16.6 19.0 -9.5
59 42.2 11/30/14 Cincinnati 27.8 26.3 +1.1 14 13 Tampa Bay 11.7 18.2 -8.5
60 42.5 12/20/20 San Francisco 24.7 25.2 -0.8 33 41 Dallas 20.1 20.8 -7.8
61 42.5 01/01/17 Kansas City 34.7 31.1 +4.5 37 27 LA Chargers 19.5 23.0 -0.2
62 42.5 12/15/13 New Orleans 37.4 32.3 +7.7 16 27 LA Rams 25.5 26.7 -1.5
63 42.6 11/12/17 NY Giants 13.7 18.4 -9.8 21 31 San Francisco 5.8 15.8 -10.7
64 43.0 12/17/16 Miami 25.7 22.4 -1.5 34 13 NY Jets 13.4 17.3 -7.3
65 43.0 12/13/15 New England 29.9 28.0 +10.7 27 6 Houston 25.9 25.3 -0.9
66 43.1 11/08/20 Houston 15.1 20.5 -7.3 27 25 Jacksonville 8.0 15.2 -9.4
67 43.2 01/03/21 Seattle 31.4 29.4 +5.7 26 23 San Francisco 23.6 24.6 -0.7
68 43.3 12/18/11 Baltimore 35.6 31.3 +9.1 14 34 LA Chargers 24.2 26.2 +1.9
69 43.4 12/24/16 Washington 25.0 25.6 +0.1 41 21 Chicago 16.3 22.2 -5.1
70 43.4 12/14/03 Green Bay 26.3 27.3 +4.3 38 21 LA Chargers 18.2 21.0 -7.8
71 43.4 12/04/14 Dallas 22.7 22.4 +2.4 41 28 Chicago 23.4 22.7 -7.0
72 43.5 12/27/09 Las Vegas 21.7 20.2 -11.4 9 23 Cleveland 16.2 19.6 -10.7
73 43.6 12/19/04 LA Rams 18.1 19.0 -5.0 7 31 Arizona 11.1 16.2 -4.9
74 43.7 12/13/20 Indianapolis 29.6 26.8 +4.6 44 27 Las Vegas 26.7 24.3 -2.0
75 43.7 11/30/03 Tampa Bay 23.7 25.5 +4.2 10 17 Jacksonville 22.2 23.7 -6.3