Tampa Bay (Away) Carolina (Home)
Win Odds 69.2% 30.8%
Spread -11.0 +11.0
Cover Odds 49.1% 50.9%
Proj Score 27.4 16.7

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
12/26/21 Tampa Bay 30.7 29.3 +7.4 69.2% 30.8% Carolina 15.6 18.6 -3.0
 
Team Like Tampa Bay Team Like Carolina
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 23.3 12/27/20 Chicago 22.0 23.9 -0.2 41 17 Jacksonville 7.1 15.4 -10.6
2 24.4 12/26/20 Tampa Bay 30.3 29.5 +5.7 47 7 Detroit 17.4 18.9 -7.1
3 24.7 12/24/06 Indianapolis 35.2 31.5 +4.6 24 27 Houston 22.0 22.8 -7.9
4 26.5 12/15/19 New England 29.8 29.1 +13.1 34 13 Cincinnati 15.3 19.8 -9.8
5 27.2 01/03/16 New England 28.4 27.7 +10.7 10 20 Miami 13.1 16.2 -5.9
6 28.6 12/09/18 New England 33.7 29.9 +6.0 33 34 Miami 18.4 19.5 -4.7
7 28.7 12/19/21 Dallas 31.8 29.6 +7.2 21 6 NY Giants 21.4 22.1 -6.0
8 28.9 12/27/15 Pittsburgh 37.8 34.1 +6.5 17 20 Baltimore 17.9 20.4 -4.9
9 29.2 12/18/11 Cincinnati 27.0 26.3 +1.2 20 13 LA Rams 14.3 16.6 -13.3
10 30.8 11/27/16 New England 32.8 31.7 +9.1 22 17 NY Jets 16.4 20.7 -6.5
11 31.1 12/19/21 Arizona 29.6 28.7 +8.6 12 30 Detroit 14.1 17.8 -10.8
12 31.2 12/22/19 Kansas City 36.0 32.7 +7.9 26 3 Chicago 22.6 23.8 +0.2
13 32.4 01/08/11 New Orleans 31.7 27.7 +4.8 36 41 Seattle 17.4 17.5 -6.1
14 32.5 12/18/05 Cincinnati 36.5 30.8 +7.0 41 17 Detroit 16.9 20.8 -4.2
15 32.7 12/18/17 Atlanta 33.7 30.0 +2.5 24 21 Tampa Bay 20.8 22.8 -3.7
16 32.7 11/27/11 Pittsburgh 34.7 31.7 +4.1 13 9 Kansas City 16.7 18.1 -10.8
17 32.8 12/27/03 Philadelphia 35.0 31.1 +4.2 31 7 Washington 17.6 21.6 -4.1
18 33.0 12/31/17 New Orleans 38.0 33.1 +8.6 24 31 Tampa Bay 19.4 23.1 -3.6
19 33.2 12/22/07 Dallas 36.9 32.4 +10.3 20 13 Carolina 20.9 19.6 -5.8
20 33.3 12/07/14 Houston 22.7 25.1 +3.3 27 13 Jacksonville 12.4 16.1 -11.9
21 34.1 12/25/17 Pittsburgh 31.6 27.9 +4.7 34 6 Houston 12.9 18.4 -4.4
22 34.4 12/21/20 Pittsburgh 32.9 30.0 +8.6 17 27 Cincinnati 13.5 18.2 -7.2
23 34.4 01/03/21 Baltimore 29.8 29.0 +8.7 38 3 Cincinnati 20.4 21.4 -5.2
24 34.6 11/27/03 Green Bay 29.3 28.8 +4.6 14 22 Detroit 13.8 18.3 -7.8
25 34.6 12/13/20 Tennessee 29.2 26.9 +2.8 31 10 Jacksonville 10.0 18.6 -8.4
26 34.6 12/04/11 Baltimore 35.2 31.0 +8.2 24 10 Cleveland 18.0 21.3 -4.6
27 34.6 12/23/06 Kansas City 24.0 24.4 0.0 20 9 Las Vegas 9.1 15.5 -9.5
28 34.7 01/01/17 Seattle 25.6 26.6 +4.0 25 23 San Francisco 9.1 13.6 -11.3
29 34.7 12/23/17 Minnesota 39.8 33.9 +7.2 16 0 Green Bay 24.3 24.5 -1.7
30 35.4 12/23/07 Green Bay 38.2 34.1 +10.8 7 35 Chicago 21.8 23.8 -3.6
31 35.4 12/19/21 Green Bay 33.9 30.9 +4.3 31 30 Baltimore 24.8 24.7 +1.5
32 35.6 12/24/16 Tennessee 31.3 27.8 +1.2 17 38 Jacksonville 13.0 19.9 -7.1
33 35.6 12/18/08 Indianapolis 36.5 30.2 +3.5 31 24 Jacksonville 21.2 22.6 -2.7
34 36.4 11/23/08 Chicago 25.2 25.6 +0.9 27 3 LA Rams 12.4 14.3 -17.3
35 36.5 12/13/15 Seattle 37.5 33.8 +6.3 35 6 Baltimore 17.4 20.9 -1.6
36 37.0 12/21/08 Houston 31.9 27.9 -1.7 16 27 Las Vegas 12.0 16.7 -10.2
37 37.2 01/01/06 Washington 32.1 30.4 +3.7 31 20 Philadelphia 20.0 21.5 -4.5
38 37.2 12/16/07 Indianapolis 39.4 34.5 +12.6 21 14 Las Vegas 18.6 21.1 -4.4
39 37.3 12/05/21 Arizona 31.6 30.2 +9.8 33 22 Chicago 18.0 20.3 -6.8
40 37.3 12/23/18 LA Rams 29.7 28.0 +7.5 31 9 Arizona 11.8 15.1 -12.5
41 37.6 12/26/05 New England 33.5 30.5 +2.4 31 21 NY Jets 15.2 20.1 -7.8
42 37.7 12/29/19 Green Bay 33.2 28.6 +4.0 23 20 Detroit 10.3 17.1 -5.3
43 37.8 12/27/20 Cleveland 30.1 26.7 -0.4 16 23 NY Jets 15.8 17.8 -14.8
44 37.8 11/19/17 Kansas City 27.4 27.1 +5.0 9 12 NY Giants 8.4 16.0 -9.8
45 37.9 12/20/07 Pittsburgh 25.4 26.2 +8.1 41 24 LA Rams 15.3 18.0 -9.2
46 38.3 12/05/21 Tampa Bay 31.6 30.1 +8.5 30 17 Atlanta 21.8 20.2 -9.4
47 38.6 12/31/05 NY Giants 32.7 29.8 +6.6 30 21 Las Vegas 16.4 19.9 -5.6
48 38.6 11/16/08 Philadelphia 29.0 30.3 +7.9 13 13 Cincinnati 14.4 17.2 -12.3
49 38.7 12/09/07 Indianapolis 37.9 32.8 +11.7 44 20 Baltimore 16.4 20.4 -5.3
50 38.7 12/03/17 LA Rams 36.0 32.6 +11.2 32 16 Arizona 21.3 21.7 -6.8
51 38.7 12/30/07 LA Chargers 35.8 32.8 +7.7 30 17 Las Vegas 17.3 20.4 -6.8
52 38.8 12/24/06 Chicago 33.5 30.0 +13.3 26 21 Detroit 9.6 16.4 -6.9
53 39.1 01/03/10 Baltimore 25.1 28.2 +8.1 21 13 Las Vegas 18.8 18.5 -11.6
54 39.3 12/25/10 Dallas 25.7 25.9 -3.0 26 27 Arizona 7.6 13.6 -8.2
55 39.4 12/21/08 New Orleans 27.5 28.4 +2.6 42 7 Detroit 8.6 16.5 -14.6
56 39.5 12/18/05 Carolina 28.8 27.1 +6.6 27 10 New Orleans 15.0 17.9 -10.1
57 39.6 01/03/21 Tennessee 26.8 26.0 +3.3 41 38 Houston 15.0 19.1 -5.1
58 39.7 12/29/13 Denver 32.4 32.5 +12.5 34 14 Las Vegas 11.7 16.8 -7.4
59 39.8 12/31/17 Washington 25.4 24.1 -2.5 10 18 NY Giants 12.9 16.9 -10.0
60 40.0 12/10/09 Pittsburgh 20.9 24.7 +3.4 6 13 Cleveland 6.6 15.2 -13.7
61 40.2 12/11/11 New England 33.7 31.9 +9.6 34 27 Washington 16.9 19.8 -4.5
62 40.3 12/05/21 Indianapolis 28.4 29.2 +4.8 31 0 Houston 15.4 18.4 -11.6
63 40.3 12/15/13 Kansas City 26.8 27.9 +9.2 56 31 Las Vegas 14.2 18.3 -5.6
64 40.4 11/30/08 Miami 25.2 23.7 -0.7 16 12 LA Rams 10.1 12.6 -17.9
65 40.5 12/29/07 New England 47.8 38.3 +20.8 38 35 NY Giants 32.3 28.5 +1.7
66 40.5 12/24/05 Pittsburgh 34.2 30.9 +5.4 41 0 Cleveland 22.2 23.6 -2.3
67 40.6 12/02/12 Houston 40.0 31.5 +10.5 24 10 Tennessee 20.3 20.0 -8.8
68 40.7 12/17/09 Indianapolis 45.8 34.9 +10.9 35 31 Jacksonville 26.8 23.8 -4.0
69 40.7 01/09/21 Tampa Bay 33.3 32.3 +8.6 31 23 Washington 23.7 25.1 +0.4
70 40.7 12/09/07 Dallas 47.3 37.6 +12.3 28 27 Detroit 23.8 23.3 -3.7
71 40.7 12/13/20 Green Bay 31.1 30.0 +6.7 31 24 Detroit 20.8 20.6 -6.0
72 40.8 12/21/08 Philadelphia 33.6 31.5 +6.9 3 10 Washington 20.2 21.0 -2.5
73 40.9 12/22/13 Denver 31.4 31.5 +11.6 37 13 Houston 6.6 16.3 -8.7
74 40.9 01/01/12 Pittsburgh 33.4 30.2 +6.3 13 9 Cleveland 15.8 20.6 -5.7
75 41.0 12/16/18 Seattle 32.6 30.2 +5.7 23 26 San Francisco 16.8 19.9 -5.8