Tampa Bay (Away) Carolina (Home)
Win Odds 72.3% 27.7%
Spread -13.0 +13.0
Cover Odds 47.2% 52.8%
Proj Score 26.8 14.0

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/23/22 Tampa Bay 24.1 26.0 +3.0 72.3% 27.7% Carolina 7.6 15.5 -7.2
 
Team Like Tampa Bay Team Like Carolina
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 29.3 10/19/08 Pittsburgh 37.0 31.1 +4.8 38 10 Cincinnati 11.7 20.4 -9.3
2 30.0 10/28/13 Seattle 40.5 34.6 +10.7 14 9 LA Rams 21.6 23.1 -4.0
3 32.7 10/09/16 New England 29.0 25.5 +5.0 33 13 Cleveland 7.8 17.6 -10.3
4 33.7 11/20/16 Pittsburgh 23.2 25.6 +0.9 24 9 Cleveland 4.3 14.6 -12.6
5 36.1 10/16/22 Tampa Bay 29.7 26.9 +4.0 18 20 Pittsburgh 16.2 21.6 -10.2
6 36.4 10/26/14 Miami 26.9 27.2 +1.5 27 13 Jacksonville 13.8 18.8 -12.3
7 36.6 11/19/17 Kansas City 27.4 27.1 +5.0 9 12 NY Giants 8.4 16.0 -9.8
8 38.2 11/02/08 Jacksonville 24.2 24.1 -1.4 19 21 Cincinnati 7.4 14.4 -14.1
9 38.3 10/11/09 Dallas 21.1 24.6 +4.5 26 20 Kansas City -0.1 12.3 -12.0
10 38.3 10/04/09 NY Giants 32.9 27.4 +10.7 27 16 Kansas City 7.9 16.9 -12.3
11 38.4 10/22/06 New England 32.6 28.8 +6.8 28 6 Buffalo 18.8 21.1 -5.2
12 38.6 10/15/06 LA Chargers 27.7 31.6 +16.8 48 19 San Francisco 16.7 18.3 -8.2
13 38.7 10/26/09 Philadelphia 14.9 21.3 +7.4 27 17 Washington -2.1 9.9 -2.8
14 39.0 10/27/19 Seattle 30.6 25.6 +0.7 27 20 Atlanta 11.3 15.9 -11.1
15 39.2 12/29/19 Green Bay 33.2 28.6 +4.0 23 20 Detroit 10.3 17.1 -5.3
16 39.3 12/19/21 Arizona 29.6 28.7 +8.6 12 30 Detroit 14.1 17.8 -10.8
17 40.0 11/09/20 New England 19.4 22.0 -4.4 30 27 NY Jets 4.9 11.0 -18.0
18 40.0 11/12/17 Pittsburgh 34.4 30.9 +4.5 20 17 Indianapolis 14.6 18.3 -10.9
19 40.0 11/16/08 Philadelphia 29.0 30.3 +7.9 13 13 Cincinnati 14.4 17.2 -12.3
20 40.7 10/20/19 Jacksonville 24.7 26.2 -2.3 27 17 Cincinnati 8.4 18.0 -10.3
21 41.4 10/11/09 Pittsburgh 29.0 28.5 +1.8 28 20 Detroit 18.3 15.5 -12.8
22 41.6 11/27/11 Pittsburgh 34.7 31.7 +4.1 13 9 Kansas City 16.7 18.1 -10.8
23 42.1 10/29/06 Pittsburgh 22.3 26.8 +3.2 13 20 Las Vegas 9.2 17.5 -10.5
24 42.2 11/02/03 Carolina 37.7 28.0 +2.3 10 14 Houston 19.3 19.8 -11.3
25 42.3 12/26/20 Tampa Bay 30.3 29.5 +5.7 47 7 Detroit 17.4 18.9 -7.1
26 42.5 11/05/06 Atlanta 31.9 26.9 +2.7 14 30 Detroit 12.2 17.3 -8.1
27 42.7 09/25/11 Pittsburgh 30.8 28.9 -2.0 23 20 Indianapolis 14.7 18.7 -17.5
28 42.8 10/11/20 LA Rams 31.4 27.4 +6.5 30 10 Washington 14.9 18.5 -8.3
29 42.9 11/25/18 New England 33.0 28.9 +4.4 27 13 NY Jets 14.7 17.1 -4.6
30 43.6 10/24/13 Carolina 25.9 28.3 +9.3 31 13 Tampa Bay 5.0 16.7 -7.5
31 43.7 09/24/06 Washington 23.0 24.4 -10.0 31 15 Houston 5.4 13.8 -16.5
32 43.8 11/29/20 Cleveland 29.9 25.1 -2.3 27 25 Jacksonville 8.9 16.6 -9.6
33 43.8 10/18/20 Baltimore 37.7 35.1 +14.6 30 28 Philadelphia 13.1 17.8 -6.4
34 43.8 10/20/13 New England 32.6 27.0 +4.7 27 30 NY Jets 15.1 17.2 -5.2
35 43.9 10/10/10 LA Chargers 27.7 28.8 +10.5 27 35 Las Vegas 15.5 18.0 -7.8
36 44.0 11/09/08 Carolina 33.4 29.9 +5.9 17 6 Las Vegas 15.0 16.2 -11.8
37 44.0 10/07/18 Tennessee 33.2 26.5 +0.5 12 13 Buffalo 21.4 19.5 -14.0
38 44.0 11/27/16 NY Giants 28.4 25.1 +0.4 27 13 Cleveland 4.1 14.3 -12.8
39 44.2 10/22/17 Jacksonville 25.6 27.8 +7.7 27 0 Indianapolis 9.5 14.3 -12.7
40 44.3 10/03/10 Indianapolis 28.1 27.6 +9.3 28 31 Jacksonville 9.9 13.1 -14.3
41 44.3 12/15/19 New England 29.8 29.1 +13.1 34 13 Cincinnati 15.3 19.8 -9.8
42 44.4 10/12/03 Miami 34.4 31.6 +8.3 24 10 Jacksonville 15.4 19.5 -6.0
43 44.4 11/11/21 Baltimore 31.5 27.5 +3.3 10 22 Miami 12.9 18.1 -9.7
44 44.7 10/12/14 Baltimore 29.0 28.6 +7.2 48 17 Tampa Bay 11.1 15.6 -10.6
45 44.9 10/03/04 Philadelphia 51.1 40.6 +14.0 19 9 Chicago 30.1 29.9 +0.7
46 45.0 10/14/07 Philadelphia 24.7 26.5 +2.8 16 9 NY Jets 12.0 19.2 -8.4
47 45.3 11/14/21 Tampa Bay 31.4 29.9 +9.6 19 29 Washington 17.6 18.6 -8.9
48 45.3 12/21/20 Pittsburgh 32.9 30.0 +8.6 17 27 Cincinnati 13.5 18.2 -7.2
49 45.5 10/29/18 New England 34.0 30.2 +5.0 25 6 Buffalo 19.1 18.6 -13.4
50 46.1 11/17/13 Arizona 28.5 26.5 -1.2 27 14 Jacksonville 15.5 14.7 -19.6
51 46.2 11/22/09 Pittsburgh 34.0 31.0 +5.6 24 27 Kansas City 14.9 18.2 -8.1
52 46.2 11/15/20 Baltimore 39.0 33.2 +10.6 17 23 New England 19.2 20.6 -3.5
53 46.3 12/26/21 Tampa Bay 30.7 29.3 +7.4 32 6 Carolina 15.6 18.6 -3.0
54 46.3 11/23/08 Chicago 25.2 25.6 +0.9 27 3 LA Rams 12.4 14.3 -17.3
55 46.3 01/02/22 Tampa Bay 32.4 30.7 +8.7 28 24 NY Jets 17.0 17.9 -11.5
56 46.4 10/22/17 Tennessee 23.4 23.9 -3.0 12 9 Cleveland 2.5 13.9 -10.5
57 46.6 11/27/16 New England 32.8 31.7 +9.1 22 17 NY Jets 16.4 20.7 -6.5
58 46.8 10/25/09 NY Jets 25.2 27.8 +1.7 38 0 Las Vegas 18.0 17.9 -12.8
59 47.0 11/04/19 Dallas 22.2 27.0 +9.4 37 18 NY Giants 12.5 17.5 -7.5
60 47.1 10/30/11 Detroit 34.6 30.5 +8.1 45 10 Denver 18.1 20.2 -5.3
61 47.3 12/09/18 New England 33.7 29.9 +6.0 33 34 Miami 18.4 19.5 -4.7
62 47.4 09/16/12 Houston 26.8 29.0 +20.0 27 7 Jacksonville 12.0 19.1 -3.0
63 47.4 10/02/11 New Orleans 36.4 33.2 +5.3 23 10 Jacksonville 19.5 20.1 -11.0
64 47.8 10/25/15 Atlanta 32.8 28.8 +6.7 10 7 Tennessee 8.9 16.9 -3.4
65 47.8 10/17/21 Cincinnati 27.2 25.8 +2.8 34 11 Detroit 10.6 19.7 -8.0
66 47.8 12/27/20 Chicago 22.0 23.9 -0.2 41 17 Jacksonville 7.1 15.4 -10.6
67 48.0 10/29/12 San Francisco 32.3 29.9 +9.3 24 3 Arizona 23.3 23.6 +0.9
68 48.0 09/24/17 Miami 29.4 26.3 +2.0 6 20 NY Jets 11.4 16.6 -17.0
69 48.2 10/07/18 LA Rams 41.9 33.9 +18.3 33 31 Seattle 24.0 24.9 +1.0
70 48.2 10/31/16 Minnesota 34.3 31.3 +7.5 10 20 Chicago 12.7 17.3 -8.3
71 48.4 10/04/15 Green Bay 37.5 31.6 +9.3 17 3 San Francisco 20.3 20.5 -16.0
72 48.5 01/01/17 Seattle 25.6 26.6 +4.0 25 23 San Francisco 9.1 13.6 -11.3
73 48.5 10/27/03 Miami 32.7 30.6 +6.8 26 10 LA Chargers 15.4 20.0 -9.0
74 48.5 12/05/21 Arizona 31.6 30.2 +9.8 33 22 Chicago 18.0 20.3 -6.8
75 48.5 10/19/14 Cleveland 25.2 24.9 +3.8 6 24 Jacksonville 2.4 12.6 -17.3