Tampa Bay (Away) Pittsburgh (Home)
Win Odds 71.6% 28.4%
Spread -9.5 +9.5
Cover Odds 58.1% 41.9%
Proj Score 26.4 15.7

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/16/22 Tampa Bay 29.7 26.9 +4.0 71.6% 28.4% Pittsburgh 16.2 21.6 -10.2
 
Team Like Tampa Bay Team Like Pittsburgh
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 29.0 10/09/16 New England 29.0 25.5 +5.0 33 13 Cleveland 7.8 17.6 -10.3
2 30.6 10/14/21 Tampa Bay 38.2 30.7 +9.0 28 22 Philadelphia 23.8 24.9 -1.8
3 31.5 10/26/14 Miami 26.9 27.2 +1.5 27 13 Jacksonville 13.8 18.8 -12.3
4 31.7 10/22/06 New England 32.6 28.8 +6.8 28 6 Buffalo 18.8 21.1 -5.2
5 32.0 10/07/18 Tennessee 33.2 26.5 +0.5 12 13 Buffalo 21.4 19.5 -14.0
6 32.6 10/29/12 San Francisco 32.3 29.9 +9.3 24 3 Arizona 23.3 23.6 +0.9
7 32.6 10/24/04 Seattle 22.7 25.8 +7.2 17 25 Arizona 14.1 22.8 0.0
8 33.7 10/22/15 Seattle 26.3 26.3 +1.5 20 3 San Francisco 22.6 23.5 -10.0
9 34.3 10/14/07 Philadelphia 24.7 26.5 +2.8 16 9 NY Jets 12.0 19.2 -8.4
10 34.4 09/23/18 New England 29.2 27.6 -2.0 10 26 Detroit 15.2 19.9 -17.0
11 34.8 10/17/21 Cincinnati 27.2 25.8 +2.8 34 11 Detroit 10.6 19.7 -8.0
12 34.9 10/18/15 Denver 36.1 28.9 +6.8 26 23 Cleveland 19.0 22.3 -2.8
13 35.2 10/11/15 Denver 38.5 29.4 +7.0 16 10 Las Vegas 23.3 21.8 -2.8
14 35.6 11/02/03 Carolina 37.7 28.0 +2.3 10 14 Houston 19.3 19.8 -11.3
15 35.6 09/28/08 LA Chargers 26.0 30.1 +5.3 28 18 Las Vegas 18.9 22.2 -4.3
16 35.7 09/14/09 LA Chargers 30.2 28.4 +9.3 24 20 Las Vegas 20.3 20.8 -2.9
17 35.7 10/14/18 Chicago 31.6 31.2 +11.5 28 31 Miami 28.2 24.2 -3.6
18 35.8 10/09/11 Cincinnati 25.4 26.0 +1.5 30 20 Jacksonville 20.0 20.7 -11.5
19 36.5 11/07/04 Seattle 16.1 21.0 +4.9 42 27 San Francisco 7.2 15.3 -9.1
20 36.8 10/29/06 Pittsburgh 22.3 26.8 +3.2 13 20 Las Vegas 9.2 17.5 -10.5
21 37.3 10/03/04 New Orleans 27.8 22.7 -2.7 10 34 Arizona 14.9 19.8 -7.0
22 37.4 10/09/22 San Francisco 23.5 25.4 +6.3 37 15 Carolina 14.2 19.2 -1.8
23 37.5 09/29/19 Seattle 27.5 24.2 -1.0 27 10 Arizona 14.8 20.6 -8.0
24 37.6 10/03/04 Philadelphia 51.1 40.6 +14.0 19 9 Chicago 30.1 29.9 +0.7
25 37.7 10/26/14 Seattle 29.1 28.6 +3.0 13 9 Carolina 22.5 21.1 -5.3
26 37.8 10/03/21 Kansas City 28.0 26.5 -1.0 42 30 Philadelphia 16.9 21.2 0.0
27 37.9 11/17/19 Buffalo 22.9 23.6 +2.7 37 20 Miami 17.0 18.1 -16.6
28 38.0 10/25/20 Kansas City 39.7 33.0 +8.0 43 16 Denver 31.9 27.5 -2.0
29 38.3 10/17/13 Seattle 34.2 31.0 +10.5 34 22 Arizona 26.0 25.5 -2.7
30 38.4 11/02/08 Philadelphia 30.6 30.4 +8.1 26 7 Seattle 17.7 22.2 -5.7
31 38.6 10/26/03 Seattle 29.8 27.4 +7.0 24 27 Cincinnati 18.9 22.4 -3.5
32 38.9 11/01/15 Arizona 28.1 29.5 +13.7 34 20 Cleveland 16.6 20.8 -5.0
33 39.0 11/12/06 Baltimore 34.4 30.3 +7.5 27 26 Tennessee 21.6 22.6 -12.0
34 39.3 10/11/20 LA Rams 31.4 27.4 +6.5 30 10 Washington 14.9 18.5 -8.3
35 39.5 10/10/10 LA Chargers 27.7 28.8 +10.5 27 35 Las Vegas 15.5 18.0 -7.8
36 39.5 10/17/10 LA Chargers 21.6 24.0 +6.8 17 20 LA Rams 18.1 21.6 -2.6
37 39.6 09/11/22 Indianapolis 25.5 26.8 +6.9 20 20 Houston 18.3 21.1 -7.3
38 40.1 11/09/17 Seattle 25.7 26.4 +5.0 22 16 Arizona 20.4 20.1 -7.8
39 40.2 10/14/18 LA Rams 45.0 34.3 +15.0 23 20 Denver 22.5 21.4 -6.2
40 40.2 09/19/21 New England 23.8 25.4 -1.0 25 6 NY Jets 15.7 19.8 -5.0
41 40.3 10/22/17 Dallas 20.2 22.8 -1.4 40 10 San Francisco 6.5 18.8 -5.5
42 40.5 11/04/19 Dallas 22.2 27.0 +9.4 37 18 NY Giants 12.5 17.5 -7.5
43 40.6 10/19/08 Pittsburgh 37.0 31.1 +4.8 38 10 Cincinnati 11.7 20.4 -9.3
44 40.6 10/03/10 Indianapolis 28.1 27.6 +9.3 28 31 Jacksonville 9.9 13.1 -14.3
45 40.7 10/10/21 Tennessee 19.7 21.6 -4.0 37 19 Jacksonville 6.3 17.3 -10.3
46 40.8 12/15/19 New England 29.8 29.1 +13.1 34 13 Cincinnati 15.3 19.8 -9.8
47 40.9 11/04/07 LA Chargers 33.9 31.7 +6.1 17 35 Minnesota 24.1 24.2 -0.9
48 41.0 10/07/12 Green Bay 26.8 27.0 +1.0 27 30 Indianapolis 22.6 20.9 -7.3
49 41.0 09/21/03 Pittsburgh 29.7 27.5 -1.0 17 10 Cincinnati 14.0 20.9 -11.5
50 41.3 10/19/03 Baltimore 24.4 24.7 +3.2 26 34 Cincinnati 13.1 19.1 -5.8
51 41.3 12/18/17 Atlanta 33.7 30.0 +2.5 24 21 Tampa Bay 20.8 22.8 -3.7
52 41.3 09/07/03 Denver 25.5 27.1 +5.0 30 10 Cincinnati 13.6 18.3 -9.3
53 41.3 12/05/21 Arizona 31.6 30.2 +9.8 33 22 Chicago 18.0 20.3 -6.8
54 41.3 10/05/08 LA Chargers 30.7 31.4 +6.5 10 17 Miami 25.4 24.7 -0.7
55 41.4 10/07/18 LA Rams 41.9 33.9 +18.3 33 31 Seattle 24.0 24.9 +1.0
56 41.4 10/23/16 New England 33.3 31.4 +9.7 27 16 Pittsburgh 27.6 27.0 +5.2
57 41.4 11/16/08 Philadelphia 29.0 30.3 +7.9 13 13 Cincinnati 14.4 17.2 -12.3
58 41.7 11/04/12 Detroit 25.8 24.4 -1.9 31 14 Jacksonville 14.6 17.8 -12.1
59 42.0 10/19/20 Kansas City 36.5 32.6 +7.8 26 17 Buffalo 35.4 26.0 -0.6
60 42.2 10/04/15 Green Bay 37.5 31.6 +9.3 17 3 San Francisco 20.3 20.5 -16.0
61 42.2 12/07/14 San Francisco 27.4 24.6 -1.1 13 24 Las Vegas 17.9 19.1 -13.4
62 42.3 10/12/03 Baltimore 20.9 24.6 +2.0 26 18 Arizona 12.6 14.4 -18.0
63 42.4 09/25/22 Philadelphia 36.4 30.5 +10.0 24 8 Washington 21.6 22.3 -1.5
64 42.5 11/11/21 Baltimore 31.5 27.5 +3.3 10 22 Miami 12.9 18.1 -9.7
65 42.6 11/19/17 Kansas City 27.4 27.1 +5.0 9 12 NY Giants 8.4 16.0 -9.8
66 42.7 10/22/17 Carolina 34.5 29.2 +1.0 3 17 Chicago 22.5 22.2 -7.2
67 42.7 10/22/17 Seattle 25.3 26.1 +4.6 24 7 NY Giants 18.5 23.0 -4.5
68 42.8 10/09/05 Philadelphia 38.1 31.4 +11.0 10 33 Dallas 27.7 25.2 0.0
69 42.8 10/27/19 Seattle 30.6 25.6 +0.7 27 20 Atlanta 11.3 15.9 -11.1
70 42.8 10/15/06 LA Chargers 27.7 31.6 +16.8 48 19 San Francisco 16.7 18.3 -8.2
71 42.9 10/25/09 Green Bay 29.3 28.5 +7.4 31 3 Cleveland 20.9 19.8 -13.2
72 43.0 12/19/21 Green Bay 33.9 30.9 +4.3 31 30 Baltimore 24.8 24.7 +1.5
73 43.0 11/17/19 Dallas 22.8 27.4 +9.0 35 27 Detroit 18.4 22.0 -2.2
74 43.0 11/02/08 Jacksonville 24.2 24.1 -1.4 19 21 Cincinnati 7.4 14.4 -14.1
75 43.1 09/08/13 New England 31.8 30.2 +8.7 23 21 Buffalo 17.3 20.4 -2.4