Dallas (Away) Tampa Bay (Home)
Win Odds 28.6% 71.4%
Spread +9.5 -9.5
Cover Odds 53.8% 46.2%
Proj Score 18.4 28.9

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/09/21 Dallas 20.7 22.8 +1.1 28.6% 71.4% Tampa Bay 44.1 38.0 +15.1
 
Team Like Dallas Team Like Tampa Bay
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 26.7 09/10/20 Houston 30.0 26.0 -5.7 20 34 Kansas City 45.6 38.7 +14.6
2 27.5 09/07/08 LA Rams 11.3 15.4 -9.0 3 38 Philadelphia 33.0 30.8 +3.9
3 31.7 09/18/11 Kansas City 14.2 15.5 -34.0 3 48 Detroit 36.8 31.5 +7.0
4 33.6 09/13/20 Cleveland 18.2 21.1 -1.1 6 38 Baltimore 37.1 33.9 +12.6
5 34.1 10/11/20 Las Vegas 32.7 27.0 -2.3 40 32 Kansas City 55.2 40.8 +11.8
6 34.6 09/07/17 Kansas City 32.4 30.4 +5.9 42 27 New England 46.6 38.4 +17.4
7 35.2 09/19/04 Chicago 19.1 22.1 -4.0 21 10 Green Bay 40.4 35.8 +10.0
8 35.4 09/07/08 Carolina 22.2 22.3 -7.0 26 24 LA Chargers 37.9 34.1 +11.7
9 35.4 09/21/14 Tennessee 17.8 22.1 0.0 7 33 Cincinnati 40.4 34.7 +10.5
10 35.9 09/29/19 Tampa Bay 19.7 23.1 -3.0 55 40 LA Rams 43.7 34.0 +9.3
11 37.3 10/08/06 Buffalo 27.3 26.7 +1.3 7 40 Chicago 50.1 39.6 +21.8
12 37.4 09/27/09 Kansas City 4.6 17.0 -8.5 14 34 Philadelphia 30.9 29.8 +1.0
13 37.5 11/16/15 Houston 21.4 21.7 -3.9 10 6 Cincinnati 44.9 35.4 +10.9
14 37.7 09/30/07 Denver 19.2 18.6 -1.7 20 38 Indianapolis 54.7 37.6 +13.0
15 38.0 09/16/07 Atlanta 10.7 14.5 -21.0 7 13 Jacksonville 25.2 29.0 -3.0
16 38.1 09/17/06 Tennessee 8.1 15.7 -7.0 7 40 LA Chargers 28.7 30.3 +27.0
17 38.3 09/09/12 Washington 19.6 22.9 -5.3 40 32 New Orleans 35.8 34.7 +15.9
18 39.1 09/11/16 Miami 17.5 19.9 -6.4 10 12 Seattle 35.2 33.8 +13.6
19 39.3 10/29/15 Miami 21.2 24.4 +1.7 7 36 New England 44.6 35.9 +14.5
20 39.7 10/05/15 Detroit 12.5 16.8 -9.0 10 13 Seattle 29.7 29.8 +4.3
21 39.9 09/14/03 Carolina 25.6 23.0 +1.0 12 9 Tampa Bay 46.7 41.3 +17.0
22 40.3 10/06/19 Indianapolis 18.0 20.5 -2.0 19 13 Kansas City 39.9 31.7 +10.3
23 40.4 09/15/03 Dallas 8.5 14.2 -14.0 35 32 NY Giants 32.3 28.2 +10.0
24 40.5 09/20/20 Detroit 10.8 19.0 -4.0 21 42 Green Bay 35.5 29.7 +9.0
25 40.8 11/10/08 San Francisco 7.4 15.4 -7.4 24 29 Arizona 30.2 28.7 +6.3
26 41.0 10/14/12 Las Vegas 13.9 14.3 -14.5 20 23 Atlanta 39.3 32.3 +11.0
27 41.1 09/17/17 Cleveland 11.9 18.5 -3.0 10 24 Baltimore 28.4 28.8 +20.0
28 41.4 09/13/20 Arizona 22.2 24.1 -3.6 24 20 San Francisco 37.5 33.3 +3.7
29 41.7 10/09/16 NY Jets 21.5 21.5 -6.5 13 31 Pittsburgh 45.2 36.1 +7.0
30 41.7 10/10/13 NY Giants -1.4 10.3 -20.0 21 27 Chicago 25.3 25.1 +1.0
31 42.1 09/08/11 New Orleans 26.8 25.6 +1.0 34 42 Green Bay 43.6 37.4 +10.9
32 42.4 09/13/09 Kansas City 12.1 18.5 -7.3 24 38 Baltimore 38.7 34.4 +7.3
33 42.5 09/27/15 Jacksonville 19.9 20.7 -4.0 17 51 New England 46.4 37.2 +7.5
34 42.8 09/27/12 Cleveland 11.5 19.4 -6.0 16 23 Baltimore 36.2 32.1 +10.3
35 42.8 09/12/04 NY Giants 10.5 15.3 -17.3 17 31 Philadelphia 32.0 29.9 +7.9
36 42.9 09/17/06 Houston 6.1 14.6 -14.0 24 43 Indianapolis 37.1 31.6 +5.0
37 43.2 09/15/13 Cleveland 12.0 16.6 -13.0 6 14 Baltimore 34.9 29.8 -22.0
38 43.3 10/27/14 Washington 15.6 18.7 -4.6 20 17 Dallas 38.7 31.0 +7.0
39 43.3 10/04/20 Philadelphia 4.6 13.6 -9.3 25 20 San Francisco 27.6 30.3 +13.7
40 43.3 09/08/05 Las Vegas 18.0 20.9 -5.7 20 30 New England 48.0 38.7 +10.0
41 43.4 09/17/17 San Francisco 5.3 12.6 -20.0 9 12 Seattle 25.9 26.4 -8.0
42 43.7 09/09/18 Houston 9.6 16.1 -13.3 20 27 New England 35.3 32.3 +7.7
43 44.2 10/07/07 Atlanta 18.0 21.7 -6.0 13 20 Tennessee 42.3 32.5 +6.0
44 44.3 10/02/11 Denver 19.0 24.5 -1.3 23 49 Green Bay 47.0 36.0 +8.3
45 44.5 11/05/06 Houston 17.0 20.3 -8.7 10 14 NY Giants 40.8 34.7 +6.6
46 44.7 10/04/15 LA Rams 15.6 20.8 -5.7 24 22 Arizona 33.6 33.7 +25.7
47 44.8 09/16/12 Tampa Bay 15.9 17.4 +6.0 34 41 NY Giants 37.2 32.4 -7.0
48 45.1 09/27/15 New Orleans 5.7 13.9 -9.5 22 27 Carolina 30.9 27.7 +9.0
49 45.3 09/11/05 Tennessee 16.1 19.4 -9.4 7 34 Pittsburgh 41.1 32.7 +3.1
50 45.3 09/20/20 Jacksonville 22.3 21.8 +7.0 30 33 Tennessee 37.2 31.1 +2.0
51 45.3 09/26/04 Arizona 16.9 19.1 -9.0 3 6 Atlanta 32.0 28.5 +9.5
52 45.5 09/11/16 LA Chargers 20.3 24.1 -5.6 27 33 Kansas City 35.3 33.1 +10.6
53 45.5 09/27/20 Detroit 8.6 15.0 -12.5 26 23 Arizona 37.5 31.6 +9.5
54 45.5 10/10/04 Las Vegas 12.7 19.2 -0.8 14 35 Indianapolis 43.3 34.5 +8.0
55 45.6 09/07/14 Jacksonville 14.2 17.9 -3.7 17 34 Philadelphia 26.9 26.9 +7.1
56 45.7 09/14/09 Buffalo 21.4 22.9 -1.3 24 25 New England 35.4 32.1 +10.4
57 45.8 09/18/11 Jacksonville 20.9 21.9 +2.0 3 32 NY Jets 37.9 31.5 +3.0
58 46.0 10/11/20 Cincinnati 19.5 23.4 0.0 3 27 Baltimore 41.4 34.8 +12.3
59 46.5 10/03/11 Indianapolis 0.9 13.3 -12.7 17 24 Tampa Bay 32.5 24.8 0.0
60 46.6 09/21/08 Cincinnati 13.5 17.4 -12.0 23 26 NY Giants 44.0 35.3 +18.5
61 46.7 10/18/15 LA Chargers 19.2 22.4 -3.6 20 27 Green Bay 43.3 34.9 +11.2
62 46.8 09/08/19 Cincinnati 17.5 21.7 -4.9 20 21 Seattle 28.6 28.1 +7.0
63 46.9 09/18/11 Seattle 12.8 15.0 -16.0 0 24 Pittsburgh 34.7 30.0 -28.0
64 46.9 10/28/18 Green Bay 23.2 22.5 +0.7 27 29 LA Rams 44.7 35.6 +15.3
65 47.3 09/14/03 Cincinnati 8.0 14.2 -20.0 20 23 Las Vegas 32.9 32.3 -5.0
66 47.4 11/19/17 Washington 25.7 24.2 -2.8 31 34 New Orleans 43.0 37.2 +11.4
67 47.5 11/05/17 Tampa Bay 16.9 20.4 -2.9 10 30 New Orleans 40.0 33.6 +6.6
68 47.5 09/08/19 Washington 19.6 20.1 -11.3 27 32 Philadelphia 30.2 27.6 +5.3
69 47.5 09/16/07 Las Vegas 3.1 11.9 -15.0 20 23 Denver 31.3 27.7 +1.0
70 47.8 10/04/15 Minnesota 21.5 22.2 +3.3 20 23 Denver 40.5 31.8 +8.3
71 47.9 10/16/14 NY Jets 11.8 18.1 -10.3 25 27 New England 31.4 30.7 +5.2
72 47.9 09/27/18 Minnesota 24.6 22.6 -4.3 31 38 LA Rams 34.6 33.4 +22.0
73 48.0 09/18/16 Indianapolis 18.9 21.9 -4.0 20 34 Denver 42.4 33.1 +1.0
74 48.0 09/13/09 Jacksonville 16.9 20.7 -11.0 12 14 Indianapolis 34.7 31.6 +10.4
75 48.3 10/05/03 New Orleans 29.0 21.7 -11.3 13 19 Carolina 46.4 34.7 +8.0