Miami (Away) Buffalo (Home)
Win Odds 32.0% 68.0%
Spread +7.0 -7.0
Cover Odds 58.2% 41.8%
Proj Score 19.4 26.2

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
12/17/22 Miami 27.2 25.8 +0.3 32.0% 68.0% Buffalo 38.0 33.1 +10.2
 
Team Like Miami Team Like Buffalo
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 24.6 12/14/03 Seattle 22.8 25.1 +4.4 22 27 LA Rams 32.6 29.8 +8.2
2 25.6 12/18/16 Tennessee 27.2 26.3 +1.2 19 17 Kansas City 38.4 31.3 +3.6
3 25.9 12/13/15 Las Vegas 22.1 23.4 -2.5 15 12 Denver 35.1 30.0 +4.9
4 27.7 12/12/04 Seattle 14.9 18.0 +1.0 27 23 Minnesota 24.5 24.4 +1.6
5 28.0 01/03/16 Seattle 33.7 32.9 +7.7 36 6 Arizona 44.9 38.2 +13.7
6 28.3 12/14/14 Minnesota 23.4 24.4 -1.4 14 16 Detroit 30.8 27.9 +3.2
7 28.4 12/14/03 Jacksonville 26.6 26.5 -2.7 13 27 New England 45.5 33.6 +4.6
8 28.8 12/23/18 Tampa Bay 20.0 23.0 -4.2 20 27 Dallas 30.8 26.6 +0.5
9 28.9 12/30/18 Cleveland 26.3 24.9 -2.1 24 26 Baltimore 32.8 30.7 +6.7
10 29.1 12/16/18 Green Bay 19.7 23.8 +0.6 17 24 Chicago 32.3 30.2 +8.6
11 29.5 12/26/16 Detroit 27.9 25.4 +1.1 21 42 Dallas 36.5 31.1 +7.7
12 29.7 01/01/12 Washington 18.8 22.0 -3.7 10 34 Philadelphia 28.9 29.4 +2.9
13 29.8 12/16/12 Jacksonville 12.4 15.7 -11.0 3 24 Miami 23.4 23.5 -2.8
14 30.1 12/13/20 Minnesota 25.1 24.4 -0.8 14 26 Tampa Bay 30.8 30.4 +5.3
15 30.1 11/28/10 Tampa Bay 27.5 24.0 +0.3 10 17 Baltimore 34.6 30.9 +5.5
16 30.1 12/28/08 Denver 19.9 20.7 -3.1 21 52 LA Chargers 28.2 28.6 +4.1
17 30.1 12/12/21 Las Vegas 23.3 22.7 -3.2 9 48 Kansas City 35.1 31.2 +3.7
18 30.5 12/09/18 Indianapolis 24.0 24.6 +3.8 24 21 Houston 38.5 31.5 +5.6
19 30.8 12/23/18 Pittsburgh 27.4 27.6 +4.9 28 31 New Orleans 39.1 34.3 +11.9
20 31.0 01/02/22 Carolina 15.8 18.1 -4.5 10 18 New Orleans 25.4 25.5 +0.7
21 31.1 12/25/20 Minnesota 20.9 22.7 -2.0 33 52 New Orleans 30.6 29.9 +7.1
22 31.1 12/22/13 Arizona 33.3 30.5 +3.6 17 10 Seattle 42.5 38.2 +12.5
23 31.5 12/23/07 Houston 26.8 26.5 +0.3 15 38 Indianapolis 40.4 34.6 +12.2
24 32.0 12/27/15 NY Giants 21.0 23.8 +1.1 17 49 Minnesota 32.6 29.7 +1.7
25 32.0 12/12/04 New Orleans 13.6 16.9 -7.6 27 13 Dallas 24.4 21.8 -7.7
26 32.1 12/10/06 New Orleans 27.4 26.6 +4.9 42 17 Dallas 33.0 31.0 +9.5
27 32.2 12/04/11 Cincinnati 29.6 27.5 +4.0 7 35 Pittsburgh 35.1 30.4 +4.1
28 32.3 12/20/03 Atlanta 19.1 20.2 -9.4 30 28 Tampa Bay 27.1 26.8 +4.2
29 32.3 12/01/13 LA Rams 28.1 28.2 +1.0 13 23 San Francisco 34.4 33.4 +8.2
30 32.4 12/03/06 Seattle 23.0 22.2 -0.5 23 20 Denver 31.1 28.3 +2.7
31 32.5 12/22/19 Arizona 20.9 22.8 -6.3 27 13 Seattle 35.3 29.5 +1.9
32 32.5 12/05/21 Denver 26.7 25.8 +2.9 9 22 Kansas City 33.7 30.0 +2.8
33 32.5 11/16/17 Tennessee 25.0 22.9 -0.9 17 40 Pittsburgh 34.3 29.4 +4.3
34 32.7 12/27/09 Denver 24.8 25.6 +1.8 27 30 Philadelphia 37.0 33.2 +8.1
35 32.7 12/21/14 Minnesota 22.4 24.3 -1.4 35 37 Miami 28.2 27.1 +1.9
36 32.8 12/18/16 Tampa Bay 32.8 28.6 -0.2 20 26 Dallas 35.9 31.4 +7.8
37 32.9 12/05/04 Cincinnati 27.9 27.4 -0.5 27 26 Baltimore 37.2 32.4 +3.9
38 33.0 12/29/13 NY Jets 21.1 20.0 -7.3 20 7 Miami 28.5 26.2 -0.3
39 33.1 12/20/20 Houston 19.4 21.2 -4.9 20 27 Indianapolis 30.6 27.7 +5.5
40 33.1 12/21/03 Denver 26.3 27.1 +6.7 31 17 Indianapolis 38.6 32.1 +8.7
41 33.1 11/30/08 San Francisco 12.1 17.7 -5.3 10 3 Buffalo 21.1 24.3 +2.2
42 33.2 12/02/07 Jacksonville 32.7 28.9 +4.4 25 28 Indianapolis 36.6 33.6 +12.5
43 33.4 12/21/03 Cincinnati 25.2 24.6 -0.9 10 27 LA Rams 32.4 29.9 +8.0
44 33.4 12/11/05 LA Rams 18.1 19.8 -4.8 13 27 Minnesota 30.7 25.7 -4.5
45 33.6 12/27/09 Jacksonville 24.0 22.6 -4.0 7 35 New England 33.8 31.6 +8.6
46 33.8 01/21/18 Jacksonville 30.2 28.3 +8.8 20 24 New England 37.6 34.5 +10.8
47 33.8 12/19/10 Buffalo 22.5 23.6 -6.4 17 14 Miami 28.8 27.0 -1.5
48 34.2 11/24/19 Dallas 24.9 27.8 +8.9 9 13 New England 39.8 34.5 +17.9
49 34.3 11/30/14 Tennessee 9.7 16.7 -9.2 21 45 Houston 22.6 24.5 +1.5
50 34.3 12/14/14 Houston 23.1 25.1 +4.2 10 17 Indianapolis 30.6 28.5 +7.7
51 34.4 12/22/13 Minnesota 23.0 23.2 -4.4 14 42 Cincinnati 29.6 28.5 +5.7
52 34.5 12/09/07 Arizona 22.6 23.2 +0.1 21 42 Seattle 29.3 27.5 +5.5
53 34.5 12/17/17 Green Bay 25.4 24.4 -1.3 24 31 Carolina 36.4 31.2 +2.9
54 34.6 12/24/16 Arizona 18.4 22.1 +1.1 34 31 Seattle 29.8 28.3 +4.5
55 34.6 11/20/05 Detroit 21.4 22.4 -1.4 7 20 Dallas 33.0 29.8 +5.0
56 34.6 12/17/06 Philadelphia 24.6 23.7 +2.5 36 22 NY Giants 27.0 27.1 +1.8
57 34.9 12/13/15 Tennessee 14.4 18.4 -4.3 8 30 NY Jets 23.7 24.3 +3.9
58 34.9 12/08/13 LA Rams 27.4 28.5 +0.1 10 30 Arizona 32.6 30.0 +2.3
59 34.9 12/02/12 Tampa Bay 26.5 28.0 +5.1 23 31 Denver 36.1 32.9 +8.8
60 34.9 01/04/04 Seattle 27.9 28.2 +4.8 27 33 Green Bay 33.9 33.4 +8.4
61 35.0 12/16/18 Tampa Bay 18.5 22.0 -3.9 12 20 Baltimore 26.7 27.9 +6.2
62 35.0 11/24/16 Washington 29.4 27.5 +2.1 26 31 Dallas 37.6 32.5 +9.8
63 35.1 12/09/12 LA Chargers 18.0 23.8 +0.1 34 24 Pittsburgh 28.8 26.5 +2.0
64 35.1 11/20/16 Tampa Bay 22.3 23.7 -2.9 19 17 Kansas City 36.9 30.0 +4.1
65 35.2 12/16/18 Miami 23.9 22.1 -4.2 17 41 Minnesota 24.5 24.9 -0.7
66 35.2 12/29/13 Tampa Bay 24.0 24.0 -5.1 17 42 New Orleans 33.7 30.5 +5.7
67 35.3 12/09/12 Detroit 20.3 22.9 -1.3 20 27 Green Bay 31.2 27.7 +3.1
68 35.3 12/24/11 Minnesota 14.5 18.6 -8.0 33 26 Washington 22.5 24.1 -3.4
69 35.4 12/19/20 Carolina 18.7 23.2 -1.9 16 24 Green Bay 31.5 29.6 +6.7
70 35.4 12/09/12 New Orleans 24.9 25.6 -0.5 27 52 NY Giants 28.5 29.4 +6.5
71 35.4 12/22/13 Tampa Bay 25.0 24.1 -4.7 13 23 LA Rams 29.6 28.7 -0.6
72 35.4 12/07/08 Philadelphia 29.3 29.2 +5.8 20 14 NY Giants 44.3 36.5 +12.2
73 35.5 12/13/21 LA Rams 26.6 26.7 +5.5 30 23 Arizona 32.8 30.3 +9.9
74 35.6 12/23/18 NY Giants 24.6 24.4 -2.9 27 28 Indianapolis 32.4 29.2 +5.1
75 35.6 11/30/14 Las Vegas 20.2 21.3 -9.9 0 52 LA Rams 27.9 25.0 -6.9