Miami (Away) Tampa Bay (Home)
Win Odds 14.7% 85.3%
Spread +11.0 -11.0
Cover Odds 56.2% 43.8%
Proj Score 16.1 27.4

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/10/21 Miami 12.8 17.7 -11.8 14.7% 85.3% Tampa Bay 36.2 28.4 +4.3
 
Team Like Miami Team Like Tampa Bay
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 18.9 10/06/19 Indianapolis 18.0 20.5 -2.0 19 13 Kansas City 39.9 31.7 +10.3
2 25.4 09/27/12 Cleveland 11.5 19.4 -6.0 16 23 Baltimore 36.2 32.1 +10.3
3 27.1 10/07/07 Atlanta 18.0 21.7 -6.0 13 20 Tennessee 42.3 32.5 +6.0
4 30.9 10/18/09 Detroit 15.3 17.3 -11.8 0 26 Green Bay 33.8 28.4 +2.8
5 31.0 10/02/11 Denver 19.0 24.5 -1.3 23 49 Green Bay 47.0 36.0 +8.3
6 31.3 10/11/20 Las Vegas 32.7 27.0 -2.3 40 32 Kansas City 55.2 40.8 +11.8
7 32.4 11/08/20 Carolina 21.8 24.5 -1.8 31 33 Kansas City 39.1 33.7 +12.6
8 32.6 10/06/13 Jacksonville -14.4 4.6 -24.5 20 34 LA Rams 13.8 13.9 -13.0
9 32.7 10/05/08 Kansas City 17.9 19.4 -8.0 0 34 Carolina 32.1 30.1 +2.5
10 32.8 10/16/14 NY Jets 11.8 18.1 -10.3 25 27 New England 31.4 30.7 +5.2
11 32.9 10/11/20 Cincinnati 19.5 23.4 0.0 3 27 Baltimore 41.4 34.8 +12.3
12 32.9 09/26/04 Arizona 16.9 19.1 -9.0 3 6 Atlanta 32.0 28.5 +9.5
13 32.9 09/29/19 Tampa Bay 19.7 23.1 -3.0 55 40 LA Rams 43.7 34.0 +9.3
14 34.1 10/26/03 Houston 18.9 18.7 -11.7 21 30 Indianapolis 37.6 32.9 +12.2
15 34.2 10/10/11 Chicago 28.9 25.4 -1.0 13 24 Detroit 48.4 34.1 +14.8
16 34.9 11/02/14 Las Vegas 7.3 17.1 -10.9 24 30 Seattle 29.0 27.1 +3.1
17 35.3 10/08/06 Buffalo 27.3 26.7 +1.3 7 40 Chicago 50.1 39.6 +21.8
18 35.5 10/30/11 Miami 4.8 15.5 -9.3 17 20 NY Giants 22.8 22.8 +1.2
19 35.5 09/24/06 Tennessee 5.5 13.2 -20.0 10 13 Miami 18.8 21.5 -10.5
20 35.5 09/17/17 Cleveland 11.9 18.5 -3.0 10 24 Baltimore 28.4 28.8 +20.0
21 36.0 10/05/15 Detroit 12.5 16.8 -9.0 10 13 Seattle 29.7 29.8 +4.3
22 36.2 09/17/06 Cleveland 15.2 19.8 -5.0 17 34 Cincinnati 34.5 31.3 +13.0
23 36.4 11/05/15 Cleveland 16.6 21.2 -6.1 10 31 Cincinnati 43.9 34.5 +9.4
24 36.8 09/16/18 Arizona 16.8 19.0 -18.0 0 34 LA Rams 30.9 30.0 +20.0
25 36.8 10/10/04 Las Vegas 12.7 19.2 -0.8 14 35 Indianapolis 43.3 34.5 +8.0
26 36.8 10/29/15 Miami 21.2 24.4 +1.7 7 36 New England 44.6 35.9 +14.5
27 37.1 10/09/16 NY Jets 21.5 21.5 -6.5 13 31 Pittsburgh 45.2 36.1 +7.0
28 37.3 09/14/09 Buffalo 21.4 22.9 -1.3 24 25 New England 35.4 32.1 +10.4
29 37.4 11/14/11 Minnesota 20.0 22.5 -3.4 7 45 Green Bay 45.0 35.2 +12.0
30 37.6 09/20/20 Detroit 10.8 19.0 -4.0 21 42 Green Bay 35.5 29.7 +9.0
31 37.9 11/18/07 Washington 27.9 25.5 -1.8 23 28 Dallas 48.0 37.8 +11.2
32 37.9 09/07/14 Jacksonville 14.2 17.9 -3.7 17 34 Philadelphia 26.9 26.9 +7.1
33 38.0 11/15/15 Detroit 13.2 16.3 -12.0 18 16 Green Bay 33.0 28.3 +4.5
34 38.2 11/21/04 Washington 20.1 21.8 -2.8 6 28 Philadelphia 42.6 34.2 +9.6
35 38.3 09/19/21 Atlanta 13.9 19.0 -26.0 25 48 Tampa Bay 42.7 34.2 +2.0
36 38.3 10/31/10 Buffalo 10.1 16.7 -12.8 10 13 Kansas City 28.8 27.9 +6.3
37 38.4 10/10/13 NY Giants -1.4 10.3 -20.0 21 27 Chicago 25.3 25.1 +1.0
38 38.5 10/16/11 Jacksonville 13.5 17.2 -11.2 13 17 Pittsburgh 27.6 28.4 +2.6
39 38.6 10/17/10 Cleveland 23.0 23.9 -3.8 10 28 Pittsburgh 42.6 36.2 +9.0
40 38.7 10/31/05 Baltimore 12.7 19.6 -5.2 19 20 Pittsburgh 35.6 32.9 +9.0
41 38.9 11/10/08 San Francisco 7.4 15.4 -7.4 24 29 Arizona 30.2 28.7 +6.3
42 39.0 09/16/18 Cleveland 14.7 19.3 0.0 18 21 New Orleans 27.9 28.1 -8.0
43 39.0 09/25/05 Cleveland 20.2 20.7 -6.0 6 13 Indianapolis 35.3 30.9 +12.0
44 39.1 11/10/19 Miami 6.9 13.1 -19.1 16 12 Indianapolis 31.0 27.8 +0.6
45 39.3 10/18/15 LA Chargers 19.2 22.4 -3.6 20 27 Green Bay 43.3 34.9 +11.2
46 39.5 10/11/15 Cleveland 12.4 18.8 -4.3 33 30 Baltimore 28.4 26.5 -2.8
47 39.6 09/21/14 Tennessee 17.8 22.1 0.0 7 33 Cincinnati 40.4 34.7 +10.5
48 39.7 11/22/09 Seattle 18.0 20.7 -1.2 9 35 Minnesota 34.9 31.0 +9.7
49 40.0 11/09/14 Tennessee 13.1 17.9 -8.1 7 21 Baltimore 24.1 26.6 +7.3
50 40.1 10/30/11 Arizona 8.9 17.3 -6.2 27 30 Baltimore 25.7 28.6 +12.0
51 40.1 10/11/15 Washington 25.2 26.7 -0.3 19 25 Atlanta 44.0 36.5 +11.0
52 40.2 10/17/11 Miami 7.0 17.3 -8.8 6 24 NY Jets 26.6 26.6 -0.8
53 40.3 11/16/15 Houston 21.4 21.7 -3.9 10 6 Cincinnati 44.9 35.4 +10.9
54 40.4 11/05/06 Houston 17.0 20.3 -8.7 10 14 NY Giants 40.8 34.7 +6.6
55 40.4 10/27/14 Washington 15.6 18.7 -4.6 20 17 Dallas 38.7 31.0 +7.0
56 40.4 11/10/13 LA Rams 17.8 21.5 -4.4 38 8 Indianapolis 34.7 29.8 +7.4
57 40.5 09/12/13 NY Jets 21.7 20.8 +1.0 10 13 New England 35.3 29.6 +2.0
58 40.6 09/12/04 Arizona 14.8 17.7 -17.4 10 17 LA Rams 26.9 27.4 +6.6
59 40.7 11/29/09 Chicago 15.8 21.1 -1.9 10 36 Minnesota 33.7 31.4 +11.3
60 40.9 10/04/09 Seattle 15.3 22.4 +3.0 17 34 Indianapolis 38.5 29.8 +9.0
61 40.9 10/26/14 LA Rams 22.5 21.0 -7.8 7 34 Kansas City 36.5 33.1 +3.5
62 40.9 10/28/18 Green Bay 23.2 22.5 +0.7 27 29 LA Rams 44.7 35.6 +15.3
63 41.0 10/07/12 Cleveland 8.8 18.9 -6.3 27 41 NY Giants 20.5 26.3 +6.8
64 41.0 11/15/09 Tampa Bay 11.8 17.9 -12.1 23 25 Miami 30.9 29.7 -1.4
65 41.1 10/07/07 Tampa Bay 31.5 28.9 +9.3 14 33 Indianapolis 51.2 35.8 +14.3
66 41.1 10/11/20 NY Giants 3.1 14.2 -12.3 34 37 Dallas 20.9 22.4 -5.0
67 41.1 11/16/14 Las Vegas 10.2 18.1 -11.8 6 13 LA Chargers 28.7 28.0 +2.1
68 41.4 10/22/06 Washington 17.4 22.1 -2.8 22 36 Indianapolis 42.0 29.0 +7.0
69 41.7 09/16/07 Atlanta 10.7 14.5 -21.0 7 13 Jacksonville 25.2 29.0 -3.0
70 41.7 09/19/04 Chicago 19.1 22.1 -4.0 21 10 Green Bay 40.4 35.8 +10.0
71 41.9 10/10/16 Tampa Bay 17.6 17.9 -12.8 17 14 Carolina 27.2 27.4 -2.3
72 42.1 09/15/13 Cleveland 12.0 16.6 -13.0 6 14 Baltimore 34.9 29.8 -22.0
73 42.1 10/13/19 Cincinnati 6.4 17.6 -11.2 17 23 Baltimore 22.0 23.5 +7.6
74 42.1 10/26/03 NY Giants 22.4 23.7 -3.0 29 17 Minnesota 43.1 35.8 +12.5
75 42.2 11/11/12 Buffalo 19.0 19.4 -8.5 31 37 New England 32.3 32.4 +11.5