Miami (Away) New England (Home)
Win Odds 47.6% 52.4%
Spread +3.0 -3.0
Cover Odds 54.7% 45.3%
Proj Score 20.1 21.7

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
01/01/23 Miami 24.4 25.2 -0.3 47.6% 52.4% New England 23.6 25.3 +1.8
 
Team Like Miami Team Like New England
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 20.3 12/22/22 Jacksonville 28.0 26.0 +0.4 19 3 NY Jets 26.3 27.0 +1.3
2 23.6 12/28/14 LA Chargers 28.9 25.5 +0.8 7 19 Kansas City 28.7 28.0 +4.0
3 23.6 12/19/21 Cincinnati 23.2 25.0 +4.7 15 10 Denver 27.3 27.2 +3.6
4 23.8 12/15/13 New England 32.0 27.5 +4.8 20 24 Miami 29.2 27.6 +0.8
5 24.7 12/24/22 Las Vegas 22.8 24.5 +0.1 10 13 Pittsburgh 25.9 25.1 -4.1
6 25.3 01/06/07 Dallas 22.0 23.4 +4.7 20 21 Seattle 23.7 23.7 -0.4
7 26.8 12/24/06 Arizona 15.0 18.1 -5.3 26 20 San Francisco 17.7 18.5 -7.9
8 27.0 01/03/21 NY Jets 21.0 20.5 -13.3 14 28 New England 23.2 22.7 -2.7
9 27.0 01/03/10 Philadelphia 36.0 31.7 +7.7 0 24 Dallas 33.5 31.3 +5.8
10 27.1 01/20/19 LA Rams 34.3 30.8 +8.9 26 23 New Orleans 34.5 30.4 +9.2
11 27.4 12/18/16 Indianapolis 24.5 24.8 -0.4 34 6 Minnesota 24.8 26.4 +2.5
12 28.0 12/18/16 New Orleans 22.8 25.0 +0.5 48 41 Arizona 21.7 23.6 +1.7
13 28.4 01/03/16 Minnesota 33.8 31.4 +3.7 20 13 Green Bay 32.6 29.7 +3.5
14 28.4 12/26/10 Detroit 25.5 25.5 -1.5 34 27 Miami 26.7 26.4 -1.6
15 28.8 01/04/20 Tennessee 29.9 28.9 +4.4 20 13 New England 29.2 29.1 +12.2
16 28.9 12/16/12 Washington 29.4 27.3 +1.1 38 21 Cleveland 23.6 24.4 -1.0
17 29.1 12/24/17 Seattle 27.9 27.0 +1.9 21 12 Dallas 28.2 26.4 +1.8
18 29.3 12/26/04 Carolina 25.7 25.9 +0.1 37 20 Tampa Bay 22.4 24.5 +1.4
19 29.5 12/28/08 Dallas 29.9 28.2 +2.3 6 44 Philadelphia 30.1 29.0 +5.9
20 29.5 12/30/12 Dallas 26.3 25.1 -0.9 18 28 Washington 31.6 28.2 +2.5
21 29.6 12/21/03 New Orleans 25.9 25.1 +0.6 19 20 Jacksonville 25.8 25.7 -3.5
22 30.0 11/20/11 Buffalo 21.7 22.9 +1.2 8 35 Miami 19.5 23.2 -2.2
23 30.2 12/18/22 Arizona 15.2 19.7 -5.5 15 24 Denver 14.0 20.8 -3.4
24 30.3 12/31/17 Carolina 35.9 29.6 +3.2 10 22 Atlanta 33.0 29.3 +1.7
25 30.3 12/08/16 Las Vegas 38.0 30.6 +3.8 13 21 Kansas City 37.0 30.7 +3.3
26 30.5 12/31/06 Seattle 19.5 20.9 -1.5 23 7 Tampa Bay 17.4 19.6 -8.4
27 30.7 12/13/09 Miami 28.8 25.4 -1.5 14 10 Jacksonville 27.7 23.3 -4.0
28 30.8 12/26/10 NY Giants 28.7 28.2 +5.1 17 45 Green Bay 30.5 31.2 +8.1
29 31.2 12/21/08 Carolina 34.4 31.0 +6.4 28 34 NY Giants 33.9 31.3 +9.1
30 31.3 12/24/11 Las Vegas 22.2 21.7 -4.6 16 13 Kansas City 25.8 23.5 -9.1
31 31.4 12/04/16 Miami 29.2 25.8 +0.8 6 38 Baltimore 24.5 25.1 +1.5
32 31.4 01/07/12 Cincinnati 25.1 24.5 +1.3 10 31 Houston 23.0 24.6 +6.4
33 31.5 12/16/12 Carolina 21.1 23.5 -3.6 31 7 LA Chargers 21.3 25.1 +0.8
34 31.5 12/18/22 Atlanta 18.6 21.8 -1.8 18 21 New Orleans 16.8 21.4 -2.5
35 31.6 12/27/20 Indianapolis 31.7 28.3 +5.6 24 28 Pittsburgh 28.0 27.0 +7.3
36 31.6 12/15/18 Cleveland 23.0 23.7 -3.1 17 16 Denver 26.3 26.2 +0.6
37 31.8 12/04/05 Cincinnati 33.1 29.8 +7.4 38 31 Pittsburgh 30.1 28.4 +5.1
38 31.9 01/23/05 Atlanta 26.8 26.1 +1.9 10 27 Philadelphia 29.3 26.4 +8.2
39 32.1 12/11/08 New Orleans 29.3 29.0 +3.1 24 27 Chicago 25.1 25.2 +2.0
40 32.1 12/14/14 Cincinnati 23.9 22.9 -0.6 30 0 Cleveland 22.2 23.4 +0.5
41 32.2 11/24/13 Indianapolis 28.0 25.7 +3.2 11 40 Arizona 28.5 26.2 +0.2
42 32.2 12/25/06 NY Jets 30.0 28.1 -0.1 13 10 Miami 28.3 27.3 -1.1
43 32.2 01/05/19 Seattle 29.3 28.1 +5.1 22 24 Dallas 32.8 27.2 +0.9
44 32.2 01/10/21 Cleveland 27.0 24.4 -0.7 48 37 Pittsburgh 27.0 26.5 +6.5
45 32.5 01/01/12 NY Jets 23.8 24.1 +1.1 17 19 Miami 24.4 26.9 +0.9
46 32.6 12/11/05 Kansas City 31.3 28.6 +3.7 28 31 Dallas 28.3 28.7 +4.0
47 32.9 12/24/04 Green Bay 24.6 24.0 +1.7 34 31 Minnesota 21.3 22.2 +1.1
48 33.0 12/27/20 Tennessee 30.9 28.9 +5.4 14 40 Green Bay 31.1 29.1 +6.8
49 33.4 01/22/12 NY Giants 34.6 32.1 +1.8 20 17 San Francisco 37.6 32.4 +9.1
50 33.5 11/25/07 Washington 29.7 27.6 -2.1 13 19 Tampa Bay 27.8 26.9 +4.4
51 33.5 11/30/14 Denver 35.8 31.2 +6.5 29 16 Kansas City 34.7 31.0 +6.0
52 33.6 12/22/13 New Orleans 34.2 30.4 +6.4 13 17 Carolina 38.1 31.9 +8.6
53 33.7 12/17/06 LA Rams 13.2 16.3 -4.6 20 0 Las Vegas 13.6 18.9 -8.7
54 33.8 12/21/14 Indianapolis 32.1 29.0 +7.6 7 42 Dallas 27.6 26.2 +3.8
55 33.8 12/19/10 Kansas City 21.7 22.6 +2.1 27 13 LA Rams 20.6 21.1 -1.8
56 34.0 01/06/19 LA Chargers 32.7 29.3 +6.2 23 17 Baltimore 32.6 29.9 +6.4
57 34.0 12/18/05 Atlanta 24.8 25.5 +4.5 3 16 Chicago 31.0 27.1 +4.8
58 34.1 12/07/14 Baltimore 25.9 27.1 +7.2 28 13 Miami 32.8 31.0 +5.8
59 34.2 11/28/13 Pittsburgh 24.5 24.4 -1.2 20 22 Baltimore 21.7 23.8 +1.1
60 34.2 12/22/08 Green Bay 20.6 25.4 +2.3 17 20 Chicago 26.2 26.2 +2.1
61 34.3 12/08/19 Kansas City 29.7 29.0 +6.9 23 16 New England 34.9 31.1 +14.8
62 34.3 12/23/12 New Orleans 26.9 27.6 +0.7 34 31 Dallas 28.4 25.9 -0.8
63 34.3 12/22/13 Chicago 24.9 24.8 +1.1 11 54 Philadelphia 26.0 24.8 +1.1
64 34.4 12/30/07 New Orleans 23.0 24.0 -0.1 25 33 Chicago 27.2 27.8 -1.5
65 34.5 12/18/11 Seattle 24.7 25.3 -1.0 38 14 Chicago 24.8 25.8 +3.5
66 34.5 01/12/13 Green Bay 36.2 32.1 +6.5 31 45 San Francisco 36.2 32.7 +7.8
67 34.6 01/03/21 Arizona 24.5 25.5 +3.6 7 18 LA Rams 27.0 27.4 +4.3
68 34.7 01/01/12 Indianapolis 17.9 19.8 -12.1 13 19 Jacksonville 15.5 19.7 -6.1
69 34.7 12/17/17 Miami 24.8 23.6 -6.3 16 24 Buffalo 22.1 21.1 -3.8
70 34.9 01/01/17 Carolina 24.9 25.6 -2.1 16 17 Tampa Bay 28.0 27.2 -1.1
71 35.0 01/09/21 LA Rams 28.9 28.4 +4.8 30 20 Seattle 32.5 29.3 +5.5
72 35.0 12/27/20 LA Rams 28.3 28.5 +5.4 9 20 Seattle 29.6 28.3 +5.3
73 35.0 12/09/12 New Orleans 24.9 25.6 -0.5 27 52 NY Giants 28.5 29.4 +6.5
74 35.1 11/27/14 Philadelphia 31.0 28.7 +6.1 33 10 Dallas 27.2 25.1 +4.7
75 35.2 01/02/22 Miami 29.6 27.7 -0.7 3 34 Tennessee 28.2 26.2 +2.1