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Houston at Miami
Sun Nov 7, 2021
1:00pm ET
Miami Gardens, FL
Houston at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 45
ATS Situational Trends (Last Season)
| Record | HOU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-9-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 4-5-0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|
| MIA -4.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 307 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 180 times (58.6%).
- The team like Houston won the game 127 times (41.4%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 162-132-13 (55.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 3-2 (60.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -3.5 | -4.0 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/07 01:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/07 12:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/07 12:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/07 12:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 11:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 11:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/07 11:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/07 10:55 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 10:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/07 10:16 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 09:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 09:01 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 08:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 08:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/07 08:04 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 07:43 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 07:13 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 06:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 05:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/07 04:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/07 04:01 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/07 03:41 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 11:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/06 09:58 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 09:11 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 08:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 08:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 07:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/06 06:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/06 11:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 10:52 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 09:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 07:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 08:16 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/05 05:29 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/05 05:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 03:35 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 03:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/05 01:38 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/05 01:14 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 11:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 08:04 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 05:34 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 04:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 03:55 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 02:58 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 02:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 01:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/04 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/04 12:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/04 12:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 12:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 11:17 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 01:16 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 03:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/03 09:31 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 08:22 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 02:34 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 11:35 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 09:55 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 09:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/02 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/02 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/02 08:49 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 08:25 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/01 10:52 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/01 04:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 03:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/01 03:04 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/01 02:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 11:58 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/01 09:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 07:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 12:55 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:13 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:07 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 09:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
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