Monday Night Football: Picks for Chiefs vs. Giants (Week 8 2021)

Odds, predictions, trends, and news for the 2021 Week 8 Monday Night Football matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants.

November 1, 2021 - by Jason Lisk

The Kansas City Chiefs have been one of the biggest disappointments of the year. They’re coming off a game at Tennessee where they scored only three points, and they’re 3-4 on the season.

Meanwhile, the New York Giants are coming off their most impressive win of the season. They held the Carolina Panthers to three points in Week 7.

The Chiefs are still the heavy favorite on Monday Night Football, but can the Giants spring another surprise and continue Kansas City’s downturn?

Monday Night Football Betting Details

Point Spread: Kansas City (-10.5) vs. New York Giants (Opened at -10.0)

Over/Under: 52.0 points (Opened at 52.5)

Moneyline: Kansas City -465; NY Giants +380

Key Injuries: Giants WR Kenny Golladay and RB Saquon Barkley will each miss the game, while Kansas City will be without DT Khalen Saunders and LB Anthony Hitchens. S Tyrann Mathieu’s status is in question with illness (full injury report)

Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions

Here are our top picks for the Chiefs-Giants game.

Daniel Jones OVER 243.5 Passing Yards

Jones over 241.5 passing yards was one of our top player prop bets for Week 8. The line has moved up slightly to 243.5 since then, but Jones going over against the Chiefs defense in a game where the Giants will need to pass to compete is still the play.

Chiefs/Giants OVER 52.5 Points

All of our models give a slight lean to the over in this contest.

The Chiefs are coming off a tough game where they managed only three points, the fewest in a start by Patrick Mahomes. They’ve also turned the ball over at least three times in four of their last five games. But they are still top five leaguewide in yards on offense and bottom five in yards allowed on defense.

Expect a bounce-back game from the Chiefs offense, while the Giants should have some success against the Chiefs defense as well.

Giants +10.5

The Chiefs have not been covering big spreads over the last year. They’ve managed to keep teams around, and the defense is an issue.

It’s hard to trust a team near the bottom of the league in both net passing yards allowed per play and rushing yards allowed per play to cover a double-digit number.

BetIQ NFL Predictions: Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline Value

Chiefs & Giants Betting Trends

• Chiefs Against the Number: The Chiefs are 5-14 ATS over the last 365 days. They’re 2-7 ATS over that span when favored by seven or more points.
• Giants and the Over/Under: The Giants are 6-16-1 in hitting the over since the start of the 2020 season. They went over both times they’ve had a total above 50 in that span (both against Dallas).
• AFC vs. NFC: Home favorites in AFC-NFC matchups are 11-8 SU and 10-9 ATS this season, but home favorites of a touchdown or more are 4-0 SU and ATS so far.

Sportsbook Promos

Here are some promotions available at various sportsbooks for Monday Night Football in Week 8:

BetMGM

• Risk-Free Bet up to $25 on the first TD scorer of the game

Caesars

Caesars Sportsbook Links: CO | IN | IA | MI | NJ | TN | VA | WV

• Bet on 1st TD scorer – if bet loses, get a Free Bet equal to stake up to $25 to use on live in-play.

DraftKings

• Place a Same Game Parlay, and if your bet loses, DraftKings will credit your bet back up to $10.

FanDuel

• Place a $25+, first TD scorer wager with cash on the Giants @ Chiefs NFL game taking place on 11/1 and get $5 in site credit for each TD your player’s team scores in the game. Max $25

PointsBet

• Patrick Mahomes player props boosts (see PointsBet for full details)