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N Mex State at Tarleton St
Fri Feb 26, 2021
8:00pm ET
Stephenville, TX
N Mex State at Tarleton St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico St. by 7.5, Total Points: 130
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | TST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-16-1 | 20-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-11-1 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-4-1 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-12-0 | 12-6-0 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Kentucky | +15.0 | L by 40 | -25.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Sul Ross St. | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | UC Irvine | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Western New Mexico | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Fresno St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Louisville | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | University of the Southwest | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/02 | Away | New Mexico | +17.5 | L by 44 | -26.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 12/15 | Home | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 1 | +13.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Ste F Austin | +11.0 | L by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Tulsa | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Cal Baptist | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Florida Intl | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | W Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | LA Tech | +11.0 | L by 20 | -9.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 6 | +11.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | TX El Paso | +5.5 | L by 25 | -19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Middle Tenn | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Kentucky | +9.5 | L by 14 | -4.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.5 | L by 21 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | LA Tech | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Liberty | +14.5 | L by 25 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Jksnville St | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida Intl | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Virginia | +17.0 | L by 30 | -13.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Florida Intl | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | North Texas-Dallas | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/14 | Away | Bradley | +10.0 | L by 23 | -13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Austin Peay | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | CS Bakersfld | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Ste F Austin | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Hardin-Simmons | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 12/12 | Home | Sterling | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/18 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Tennessee | +22.5 | L by 19 | +3.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +7.0 | W by 13 | +20.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | TX-Arlington | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Grd Canyon | +13.0 | L by 26 | -13.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Abl Christian | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX-Pan Am | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Utah | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Utah Tech | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Abl Christian | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ste F Austin | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Utah Valley | +3.5 | W by 11 | +14.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Seattle | +8.0 | W by 5 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | TX-Arlington | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Grd Canyon | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Cal Baptist | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Utah Tech | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Utah | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Utah Valley | -7.0 | L by 3 | -10.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Seattle | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | TX Southern | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Abl Christian | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | IPFW | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| NMSU -7.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1010 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico St. won the game 771 times (76.3%).
- The team like Tarleton State won the game 239 times (23.7%).
- The team like New Mexico St. did better against the spread, going 519-479-12 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 611 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like New Mexico St. did better against the spread, going 299-285-27 (51.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.5 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/26 07:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:58 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/26 02:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 01:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 01:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/26 10:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/26 10:08 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:59 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/26 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/26 08:17 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 01:25 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/26 12:08 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/25 10:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 06:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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