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San Diego St vs. Connecticut
Thu Mar 28, 2024
7:39pm ET
Boston, MA
(Neutral Site)
San Diego St vs. Connecticut: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 12, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SDSU | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-21-0 | 28-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-12-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 9-1-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 6-16-0 | 19-5-0 |
San Diego St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | CS Fullerton | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | BYU | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Lg Beach St | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Marys | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Washington | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | California | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Point Loma | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 12/01 | Away | UCSD | -13.5 | W by 1 | -12.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Grd Canyon | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UC Irvine | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | St. Katherine | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 12/21 | Home | Stanford | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Gonzaga | +6.5 | W by 10 | +16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Fresno St | -15.5 | W by 27 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | UNLV | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | New Mexico | +3.5 | L by 18 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Nevada | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boise St | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wyoming | -17.0 | W by 16 | -1.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Utah St | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Air Force | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Nevada | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Colorado St | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | New Mexico | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Utah St | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Fresno St | -12.5 | W by 32 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Jose St | -21.5 | W by 8 | -13.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | UNLV | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Boise St | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | UNLV | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Utah St | -5.0 | W by 16 | +11.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | New Mexico | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | UAB | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Yale | -5.5 | W by 28 | +22.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Connecticut | +12.0 | L by 30 | -18.0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| CONN -12.0 | Open | -10.0 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 205 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 11 to 13 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 177 times (86.3%).
- The team like San Diego St. won the game 28 times (13.7%).
- The team like San Diego St. did better against the spread, going 101-97-7 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 627 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like San Diego St. did better against the spread, going 320-300-7 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -11.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.0 | -9.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/28 07:40 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 07:37 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:31 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 07:30 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 06:16 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 05:18 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 04:24 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 04:19 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 03:38 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 03/28 03:34 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 03:07 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 01:34 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 12:43 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 12:07 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 11:49 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 11:30 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 11:25 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 10:40 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 10:13 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 09:27 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 09:19 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/28 09:07 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 01:16 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 10:34 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 09:22 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 08:40 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 07:16 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 04:00 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 02:08 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 09:36 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/26 02:00 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/26 01:36 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/26 12:47 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/26 12:07 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/25 06:11 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 04:27 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/25 11:20 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 09:46 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/25 09:35 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 07:43 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:28 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
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