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Valparaiso at Drake
Thu Dec 2, 2021
9:00pm ET
Des Moines, IA
Valparaiso at Drake: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Drake by 13.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | DRKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 18-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 9-10-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
Drake Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Lipscomb | -15.5 | W by 15 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Southwest Minnesota St. | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Oakland | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Ste F Austin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Akron | -1.5 | W by 20 | +18.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | TX Southern | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Saint Louis | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Nevada | +4.5 | W by 19 | +23.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Grambling St | -23.5 | W by 12 | -11.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -18.0 | W by 37 | +19.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | UAB | -5.5 | L by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Belmont | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Indiana St | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | S Illinois | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Illinois St | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Evansville | -17.5 | W by 49 | +31.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Missouri St | -7.0 | L by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Iowa | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Valparaiso | -19.5 | W by 11 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | S Illinois | -10.0 | W by 4 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Bradley | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Evansville | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Murray St | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Belmont | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Iowa | -2.0 | L by 14 | -16.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | IL-Chicago | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Bradley | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Evansville | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Bradley | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Indiana St | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wash State | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| DRKE -13.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1337 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Drake won the game 1216 times (90.9%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 121 times (9.1%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 662-653-22 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2859 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1415-1388-56 (50.5% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/02 08:55 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 07:55 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 06:20 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 04:31 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 04:28 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/02 12:49 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/02 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/02 11:04 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:43 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/02 10:04 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/02 09:55 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 09:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/02 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/02 09:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/02 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/02 09:04 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 08:58 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 01:01 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/01 08:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/01 08:25 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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