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Cincinnati at Xavier
Sat Dec 7, 2019
5:00pm ET
Cincinnati, OH
Cincinnati at Xavier: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Xavier by 5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CIN | adv | XAV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-18-0 | 16-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 10-11-0 | 9-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 7-9-0 |
Cincinnati Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Detroit | -24.0 | W by 32 | +8.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | E Washingtn | -12.5 | W by 12 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | N Kentucky | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | GA Tech | -10.0 | W by 35 | +25.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Howard | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Xavier | +1.0 | L by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Bryant | -21.0 | W by 32 | +11.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Dayton | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Merrimack | -20.0 | W by 16 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Stetson | -21.0 | W by 8 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Evansville | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | BYU | +10.0 | W by 11 | +21.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Baylor | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | TX Christian | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Oklahoma | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Kansas | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCF | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | W Virginia | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas Tech | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Houston | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UCF | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | TX Christian | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Houston | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Virginia | -11.0 | W by 36 | +25.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Baylor | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | San Francisco | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Bradley | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
Xavier Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Rob Morris | -16.5 | W by 14 | -2.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Jacksonville | -15.5 | W by 23 | +7.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Purdue | +17.0 | L by 12 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Washington | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | St Marys | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Bryant | -16.5 | W by 25 | +8.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Oakland | -15.0 | L by 2 | -17.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Delaware | -12.0 | L by 7 | -19.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Winthrop | -12.0 | W by 16 | +4.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | St Johns | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 20 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Villanova | +8.0 | L by 1 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Connecticut | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Providence | +2.0 | W by 20 | +22.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Butler | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Georgetown | -12.0 | W by 1 | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Connecticut | +11.5 | L by 43 | -31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | St Johns | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | DePaul | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Villanova | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Creighton | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Seton Hall | +3.0 | L by 18 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Providence | -5.0 | L by 4 | -9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Marquette | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | DePaul | -19.5 | W by 33 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Georgetown | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Butler | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Marquette | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Butler | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Connecticut | +15.0 | L by 27 | -12.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Georgia | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| XAV -5.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2727 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Xavier won the game 1871 times (68.6%).
- The team like Cincinnati won the game 856 times (31.4%).
- The team like Xavier did better against the spread, going 1378-1278-71 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3901 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Cincinnati did better against the spread, going 1919-1905-77 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.5 | -5.0 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/07 04:57 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:55 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/07 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/07 04:42 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:14 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/07 03:58 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/07 02:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:24 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:18 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:14 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/07 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/07 05:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:51 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 11:11 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/06 10:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/06 10:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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