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Missouri St at Middle Tenn
Tue Dec 5, 2023
7:30pm ET
Murfreesboro, TN
Missouri St at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Missouri St. by 1, Total Points: 133
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MOSU | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-1 | 11-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-1 | 2-14-0 |
Missouri St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | W Virginia | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Fla Gulf Cst | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Abl Christian | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Drake | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Sam Hous St | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulsa | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Lindenwood | -17.5 | W by 22 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | St Marys | +13.5 | W by 5 | +18.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Bradley | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Murray St | -5.0 | L by 24 | -29.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Evansville | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana St | +12.5 | L by 22 | -9.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Drake | +7.0 | W by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Valparaiso | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | S Illinois | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Belmont | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | N Iowa | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Murray St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Bradley | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Belmont | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois St | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Murray St | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 16 | -4.5 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | W Carolina | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Milligan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | UAB | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 30 | -33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Ohio | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wofford | -8.0 | L by 10 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Missouri St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Belmont | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | St Marys | +15.0 | L by 37 | -22.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | S Utah | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Murray St | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | TX El Paso | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | N Mex State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Jksnville St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Florida Intl | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Liberty | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Mex State | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sam Hous St | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Tech | +13.0 | L by 14 | -1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | LA Tech | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
| MOSU -1.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1775 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Missouri St. won the game 947 times (53.4%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. won the game 828 times (46.6%).
- The team like Missouri St. did better against the spread, going 879-861-35 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3118 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Missouri St. did better against the spread, going 1546-1514-58 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/05 06:37 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/05 05:07 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/05 11:37 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/05 10:08 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/04 07:17 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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