NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU MTU
Points 73.4 63.5
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 23.2
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.1
Shooting MOSU MTU
Field Goals Made 27.2 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 61.8
Field Goal % 44.4% 35.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 39.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 17.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.4%
Ball Control MOSU MTU
Rebounds 42.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.5
Turnovers 9.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.3
Steals 3.8 4.4
Fouls 13.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU MTU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 71.5
% of Possessions with MOSU MTU
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 31.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.3%
Turnover 12.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU MTU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 24.9%