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Baylor at Alabama
Sat Jan 29, 2022
4:00pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Baylor at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 3, Total Points: 150.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-2 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 11-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 10-11-0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| BAY -3.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2228 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1294 times (58.1%).
- The team like Alabama won the game 934 times (41.9%).
- The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 1107-1066-55 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3279 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1615-1599-65 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/29 03:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 03:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/29 03:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/29 02:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 01:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 01:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/29 12:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 11:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 11:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 11:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/29 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/29 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/29 10:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/29 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/29 09:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 09:20 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 08:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/29 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/29 08:41 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 08:16 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 08:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/29 07:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/29 07:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 06:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/29 05:58 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 02:07 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/28 10:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 09:43 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 09:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/28 09:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 08:43 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 08:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/28 07:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/28 07:22 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 06:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/28 06:41 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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