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Baylor at Florida
Sat Jan 25, 2020
8:00pm ET
Gainesville, FL
Baylor at Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 2, Total Points: 132
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-2 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 9-11-1 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Loyola-MD | -24.5 | W by 20 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Virginia | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Florida A&M | -34.0 | W by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Florida St | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wake Forest | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Merrimack | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Richmond | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | E Carolina | -15.0 | W by 5 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Michigan | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Grambling St | -26.5 | W by 39 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Quinnipiac | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Tennessee | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miss State | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas A&M | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | LSU | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Georgia | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Alabama | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Carolina | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Vanderbilt | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colorado | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| FLA -2.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2664 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 1522 times (57.1%).
- The team like Baylor won the game 1142 times (42.9%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 1325-1282-57 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4430 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida did better against the spread, going 2190-2154-86 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 08:04 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/25 07:57 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/25 07:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/25 07:36 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 06:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 05:12 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 04:12 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 01:29 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:11 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 11:24 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/25 10:04 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/25 09:58 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:46 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 09:44 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/25 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/25 08:34 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/25 07:25 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 04:08 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/24 10:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/24 09:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/24 09:24 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 09:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/24 08:52 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 07:24 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/24 07:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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