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Baylor at TX Christian
Sat Feb 29, 2020
2:00pm ET
Fort Worth, TX
Baylor at TX Christian: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 9, Total Points: 125.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-2 | 19-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 12-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 10-8-0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
TX Christian Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Southern | -27.5 | W by 33 | +5.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Neb Omaha | -26.5 | W by 22 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -29.0 | W by 33 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alcorn St | -27.5 | W by 19 | -8.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Hsn Christian | -34.5 | W by 37 | +2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Georgetown | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Clemson | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona St | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Nevada | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 12/24 | Away | Hawaii | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -26.0 | W by 35 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas | +9.0 | L by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Cincinnati | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Iowa St | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Baylor | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Texas Tech | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Texas | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 16 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas Tech | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | BYU | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | W Virginia | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UCF | -8.0 | L by 2 | -10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Houston | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Utah St | -4.0 | L by 16 | -20.0 |
| BAY -9.0 | Open | -7.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 564 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 454 times (80.5%).
- The team like Texas Christian won the game 110 times (19.5%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 283-274-7 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1081 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas Christian did better against the spread, going 550-505-26 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -8.0 | -9.0 |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 01:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:46 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 02/29 01:22 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/29 12:41 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 12:27 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/29 11:48 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/29 10:51 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/29 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/29 10:05 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 09:29 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 09:13 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/29 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/29 08:22 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 02/29 07:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 03:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:21 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:39 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/28 10:37 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
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