NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY TTU
Points 78.7 74.4
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 24.4
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.5
Shooting BAY TTU
Field Goals Made 27.8 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 55.9
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.4
Free Throw % 73.1% 78.5%
Ball Control BAY TTU
Rebounds 35.7 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.8
Turnovers 10.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.3
Steals 5.2 5.7
Fouls 15.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Baylor

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY TTU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 66.9
% of Possessions with BAY TTU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 29.3%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.3%
Turnover 14.8% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BAY TTU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 24.5%