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N Dakota St at New Mexico
Sat Nov 26, 2022
7:00pm ET
Albuquerque, NM
N Dakota St at New Mexico: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico by 14, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NDSU | adv | UNM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-17-1 | 23-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-10-0 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-6-0 | 10-5-0 | |
| Away | 6-11-1 | 13-7-0 |
N Dakota St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | W Michigan | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Mount Marty | -- | W by 27 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Creighton | +25.5 | L by 29 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | UC Davis | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Montana | +8.5 | W by 9 | +17.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Wisconsin-Stout | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 11/25 | Away | Grd Canyon | +13.0 | L by 15 | -2.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | San Jose St | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | San Jose St | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 12/07 | Home | Portland | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Oak Hills Christian | -- | W by 94 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | Illinois St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | S Illinois | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | South Dakota | -7.0 | L by 9 | -16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Montana | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | E Washingtn | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Kansas City | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Neb Omaha | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Denver | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Oral Roberts | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | St. Thomas | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | S Dakota St | +9.5 | W by 1 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | North Dakota | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Neb Omaha | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Oral Roberts | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Denver | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | St. Thomas | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | North Dakota | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | South Dakota | -3.5 | L by 20 | -23.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | S Dakota St | +3.0 | L by 17 | -14.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | St. Thomas | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
New Mexico Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TX Southern | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | St Marys | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX-Arlington | -14.5 | W by 2 | -12.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Toledo | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Rice | -7.5 | W by 34 | +26.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Pepperdine | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Tech | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | N Mex State | -17.5 | W by 44 | +26.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UCSB | -13.5 | W by 23 | +9.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 1 | -13.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | UC Irvine | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Eastern New Mexico | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Colorado St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wyoming | -16.5 | W by 17 | +0.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | UNLV | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | San Diego St | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Utah St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Air Force | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | San Jose St | -8.0 | W by 20 | +12.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Nevada | -8.5 | W by 34 | +25.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Boise St | -10.5 | L by 8 | -18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Wyoming | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | UNLV | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Colorado St | -8.0 | W by 2 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Air Force | -18.5 | L by 1 | -19.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boise St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Fresno St | -17.5 | W by 21 | +3.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Utah St | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Air Force | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boise St | (Pick) | W by 10 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Colorado St | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | San Diego St | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Clemson | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| UNM -14.0 | Open | -9.5 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1228 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico won the game 1126 times (91.7%).
- The team like North Dakota State won the game 102 times (8.3%).
- The team like North Dakota State did better against the spread, going 604-595-29 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 45 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Dakota State did better against the spread, going 27-17-1 (61.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.5 | -- |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/26 06:55 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 06:07 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 05:44 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 11/26 03:22 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 03:04 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 12:52 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 09:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 11/26 09:08 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:34 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/26 08:16 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:14 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 11/26 07:40 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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