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Duke vs. Houston
Fri Mar 29, 2024
9:39pm ET
Dallas, TX
(Neutral Site)
Duke vs. Houston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Houston by 4.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-1 | 17-18-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 10-5-2 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 7-13-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | UL Monroe | -30.5 | W by 53 | +22.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -34.0 | W by 32 | -2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Stetson | -32.5 | W by 31 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Towson | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Utah | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Dayton | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Montana | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Xavier | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rice | -27.5 | W by 36 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Jackson St | -34.0 | W by 34 | 0.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Texas St | -27.5 | W by 35 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | U Penn | -27.0 | W by 39 | +12.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Virginia | -20.0 | W by 34 | +14.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Iowa St | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TX Christian | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | UCF | -17.5 | W by 15 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | BYU | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas St | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Texas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kansas | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Oklahoma St | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Iowa St | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Cincinnati | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Oklahoma | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | UCF | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kansas | -7.5 | W by 30 | +22.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX Christian | -11.5 | W by 15 | +3.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -10.5 | W by 23 | +12.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Iowa St | -5.5 | L by 28 | -33.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Longwood | -24.0 | W by 40 | +16.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Duke | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| HOU -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1009 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Houston won the game 666 times (66.0%).
- The team like Duke won the game 343 times (34.0%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 507-488-14 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5239 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 2577-2559-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/29 10:02 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 10:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:51 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 09:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:22 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 09:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:38 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/29 07:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:12 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/29 07:08 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:56 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:50 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 03:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:07 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 02:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 01:19 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/29 11:53 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:26 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 11:23 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/29 08:01 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:46 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 07:40 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 09:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 02:55 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 02:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 04:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 11:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:50 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:49 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/25 10:16 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 09:29 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 07:32 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 07:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 11:31 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 11:18 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:16 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/25 12:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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