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Duke vs. California
Thu Nov 21, 2019
9:00pm ET
New York, NY
(Neutral Site)
Duke vs. California: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 19, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | CAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-1 | 15-15-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 9-10-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 6-8-2 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 9-7-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
California Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | St. Thomas | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Pacific | -11.0 | L by 8 | -19.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -11.5 | W by 20 | +8.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Montana St | -13.0 | L by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | TX El Paso | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Tulane | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | San Diego St | +13.5 | L by 9 | +4.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Santa Clara | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Butler | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Mississippi | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | UCSD | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Arizona | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Arizona St | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | USC | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | UCLA | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Colorado | +5.0 | W by 4 | +9.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Oregon | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Washington | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Wash State | +1.5 | W by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Stanford | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Arizona | +18.5 | L by 26 | -7.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Arizona St | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | UCLA | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Wash State | +9.0 | L by 19 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Washington | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Oregon St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Colorado | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Utah | +9.0 | L by 29 | -20.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Stanford | +4.5 | L by 22 | -17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| DUKE -19.0 | Open | -19.5 | High | -20.0 |
| Last | -20.0 | Low | -19.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 24 games where the closing line favored the away team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 23 times (95.8%).
- The team like California won the game 1 times (4.2%).
- The team like California did better against the spread, going 12-10-2 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2614 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 1318-1248-48 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -18.5 | -19.0 | -19.0 |
| Open | -19.0 | -19.0 | -19.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/21 04:27 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 02:09 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -19.0 |
| 11/21 11:14 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/21 11:13 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -19.0 |
| 11/21 10:59 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:54 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/21 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -19.5 |
| 11/21 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 11/21 09:36 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -19.0 |
| 11/20 10:46 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/20 10:30 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 05:44 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/20 05:15 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
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