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Duke at Florida St
Tue Jan 18, 2022
9:00pm ET
Tallahassee, FL
Duke at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 5.5, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-1 | 16-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 12-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 8-8-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
| DUKE -5.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1362 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 916 times (67.3%).
- The team like Florida State won the game 446 times (32.7%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 671-670-21 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4669 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 2304-2273-92 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -4.5 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 09:04 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/18 08:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:04 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:08 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/18 05:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:01 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/18 01:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:22 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:31 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/18 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/17 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/17 09:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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