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Duke at Clemson
Tue Jan 14, 2020
7:00pm ET
Clemson, SC
Duke at Clemson: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 10.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | CLEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-1 | 20-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 10-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 12-8-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
Clemson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Winthrop | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | UAB | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | Davidson | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Boise St | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Alcorn St | -22.5 | W by 21 | -1.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Alabama | +8.0 | W by 8 | +16.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Carolina | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | TX Christian | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Queens | -21.0 | W by 30 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Radford | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | N Carolina | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | VA Tech | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Boston Col | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | GA Tech | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Florida St | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Duke | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Virginia | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | N Carolina | +6.5 | W by 4 | +10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Syracuse | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 24 | +16.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Florida St | -10.0 | W by 11 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Syracuse | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Boston Col | -7.5 | L by 21 | -28.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| DUKE -10.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 337 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 288 times (85.5%).
- The team like Clemson won the game 49 times (14.5%).
- The team like Clemson did better against the spread, going 162-162-13 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4243 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 2099-2060-84 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/14 07:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/14 07:00 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 05:54 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/14 05:53 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/14 05:26 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/14 03:55 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 01/14 01:19 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:27 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 11:44 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 01/14 11:38 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 01/14 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/14 10:42 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 10:40 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/14 09:06 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 08:43 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 08:34 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 01/14 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/14 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/14 04:48 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/14 12:03 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/13 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 01/13 09:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 01/13 09:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/13 08:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 01/13 06:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 01/13 06:38 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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