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Texas St at Incar Word
Tue Nov 9, 2021
7:30pm ET
San Antonio, TX
Texas St at Incar Word: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas State by 9.5, Total Points: 130
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TXST | adv | IW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-1 | 10-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-1 | 4-14-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 4-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-10-1 | 6-12-0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UTSA | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Utah | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX-Arlington | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Texas | +19.5 | L by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Jarvis Christian | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/15 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Le Tourneau | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Houston | +27.5 | L by 35 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Coastal Car | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Marshall | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Arkansas St | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | UL Monroe | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Troy | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | S Alabama | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Mississippi | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | App State | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ball St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Alabama | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Mississippi | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | GA Southern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Troy | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Troy | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
Incar Word Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Texas | +31.0 | L by 32 | -1.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Tulsa | +13.5 | L by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Schreiner | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Ark Pine Bl | +5.5 | W by 19 | +24.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Jksnville St | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | UTSA | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Jksnville St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Beth-Cook | +0.5 | L by 14 | -13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Arizona | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Rice | +12.5 | L by 23 | -10.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | IL-Chicago | +14.0 | W by 1 | +15.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | TX-Pan Am | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Our Lady of the Lake | -- | W by 9 | -- |
| 01/06 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Lamar | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | NW State | -2.5 | L by 26 | -28.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | McNeese St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Nicholls | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Hsn Christian | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | SE Louisiana | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hsn Christian | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Lamar | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | NW State | -3.5 | L by 20 | -23.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | McNeese St | +26.0 | L by 16 | +10.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Nicholls | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | SE Louisiana | +4.0 | L by 17 | -13.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| TXST -9.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 535 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas State won the game 425 times (79.4%).
- The team like Incarnate Word won the game 110 times (20.6%).
- The team like Incarnate Word did better against the spread, going 269-260-6 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 60 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 35-22-3 (61.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/09 07:14 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 01:32 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 01:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 12:56 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 12:17 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 11:59 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:29 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 09:35 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
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