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Bradley at Toledo
Tue Dec 7, 2021
7:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Bradley at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 4.5, Total Points: 144.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BRAD | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-2 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-6-1 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-1 | 8-9-0 |
Bradley Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UAB | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Tarleton St | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Tulane | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Murray St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana St | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Akron | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Cleveland St | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Duquesne | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SIU Edward | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Truman State | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Evansville | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Illinois | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Belmont | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Murray St | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | N Iowa | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Evansville | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Drake | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | IL-Chicago | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | N Iowa | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Missouri St | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | S Illinois | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Drake | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Drake | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Cincinnati | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| TOL -4.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3037 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 2005 times (66.0%).
- The team like Bradley won the game 1032 times (34.0%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 1512-1474-51 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 481 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 242-234-5 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/07 06:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:04 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:04 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 03:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/07 01:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/07 01:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 12:10 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:49 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:24 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/07 11:01 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/07 10:34 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/07 09:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/07 09:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:31 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/07 09:19 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/07 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/07 08:31 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:10 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/06 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/06 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
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